Re: predictions

[Dan Kaminsky <dan () doxpara com>]

On Jan 15, 2010, at 9:39 PM, Nick FitzGerald <nick@virus- 
l.demon.co.uk> wrote:

> Larry Seltzer wrote:
>
> > What if Google actually follows through on their no-censorship  
> > threat?
> > The Chinese can't let them get away with it, so I have to think  
> > Google
> > will at least lose some business there. That's a consequence. But  
> > plenty
> > of other companies will take their place.
>
> I saw some stats on this on CNN (or BBC ?) the other day.  Google is a
> distant not-first in .cn search.  IIRC, Baidu has nearly 60% of that
> market and Google has about a third of the rest (I think in third pace
> behind another .cn provider).  This lowly marketshare (by Google's
> standards/expectations) means that their advertising revenue is even
> more heavily affected because revenue per impression, etc depends on
> marketshare.  The commentator suggested that therefore the market loss
> for Google pulling out of .cn, as a result of the expected intolerance
> of the Chinese government to Google's non-filtering move, may be
> smaller than the up-tick in intangibles (feelgood factor, etc) in
> Google's other markets and with EU legislators, etc, with whom Google
> is starting to have some, ummm, "difficulties".

Or perhaps Google will not be kicked out, and will enjoy a competitive  
advantage for not filtering.


> Regards,
>
> Nick FitzGerald
>
>
> _______________________________________________
> Fun and Misc security discussion for OT posts.
> https://linuxbox.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/funsec
> Note: funsec is a public and open mailing list.
_______________________________________________
Fun and Misc security discussion for OT posts.
https://linuxbox.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/funsec
Note: funsec is a public and open mailing list.