nanog mailing list archives

Re: Verizon Policy Statement on Net Neutrality


From: Daniel Taylor <dtaylor () vocalabs com>
Date: Fri, 27 Feb 2015 13:57:33 -0600

The statistics certainly *should* be used when provisioning aggregate resources. But even if 1% of users would reasonably be using a fully symmetric link to its potential, that's a good reason to at least have such circuits available in the standard consumer mix, which they aren't today.

On 02/27/2015 01:30 PM, Scott Helms wrote:
Daniel,

Well, I wouldn't call using the mean a "myth", after all understanding most customer behavior is what we all have to build our business cases around. If we throw out what customers use today and simply take a build it and they will come approach then I suspect there would fewer of us in this business.

Even when we look at anomalous users we don't see symmetrical usage, ie top 10% of uploaders. We also see less contended seconds on their upstream than we do on the downstream. These observations are based on ~500k residential and business subscribers across North America using FTTH (mostly GPON), DOCSIS cable modems, and various flavors of DSL.


Scott Helms
Vice President of Technology
ZCorum
(678) 507-5000
--------------------------------
http://twitter.com/kscotthelms
--------------------------------

On Fri, Feb 27, 2015 at 2:21 PM, Daniel Taylor <dtaylor () vocalabs com <mailto:dtaylor () vocalabs com>> wrote:

    But by this you are buying into the myth of the mean.

    It isn't that most, or even many, people would take advantage of
    equal upstream bandwidth, but that the few who would need to take
    extra measures unrelated to the generation of that content to be
    able to do so.

    Given symmetrical provisioning, no extra measures need to be taken
    when that 10 year old down the street turns out to be a master
    musician.

    On 02/27/2015 11:59 AM, Scott Helms wrote:

        This is true in our measurements today, even when subscribers
        are given
        symmetrical connections.  It might change at some point in the
        future,
        especially when widespread IPv6 lets us get rid of NAT as a de
        facto
        deployment reality.


        Scott Helms
        Vice President of Technology
        ZCorum
        (678) 507-5000 <tel:%28678%29%20507-5000>
        --------------------------------
        http://twitter.com/kscotthelms
        --------------------------------

        On Fri, Feb 27, 2015 at 12:48 PM, Naslund, Steve
        <SNaslund () medline com <mailto:SNaslund () medline com>>
        wrote:

            How about this?  Show me 10 users in the average
            neighborhood creating
            content at 5 mbps....Period.  Only realistic app I see is
            home surveillance
            but I don't think you want everyone accessing that
            anyway.  The truth is
            that the average user does not create content that anyone
            needs to see.
            This has not changed throughout the ages, the ratio of
            authors to readers,
            artists to art lovers, musicians to music lovers, YouTube
            cat video creator
            to cat video lovers, has never been a many to many
            relationship.

            On 2015-02-27 12:13, Valdis.Kletnieks () vt edu
            <mailto:Valdis.Kletnieks () vt edu> wrote:

                Consider a group of 10 users, who all create new
                content.  If each one
                creates at a constant rate of 5 mbits, they need 5
                up.  But to
                download all the new content from the other 9, they
                need close to 50

            down.

                And when you expand to several billion people creating
                new content,
                you need a *huge* pipe down.

            Steven Naslund
            Chicago IL




-- Daniel Taylor VP Operations Vocal
    Laboratories, Inc.
    dtaylor () vocalabs com <mailto:dtaylor () vocalabs com>
    http://www.vocalabs.com/ (612)235-5711 <tel:%28612%29235-5711>




--
Daniel Taylor          VP Operations            Vocal Laboratories, Inc.
dtaylor () vocalabs com   http://www.vocalabs.com/            (612)235-5711


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