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Re: Quick Review: Cyberwar as a Confidence Game by Martin C. Libicki


From: Nate Lawson <nate () root org>
Date: Wed, 23 Mar 2011 15:45:59 -0700

On 3/23/2011 12:37 PM, Yiorgos Adamopoulos wrote:
On Wed, Mar 23, 2011 at 6:21 PM, beenph <beenph () gmail com> wrote:
So i think all theories only applies until a conflict reach certain a
breaking point, where the real world take over the *cyber*.

Oh but it gets better: If a cyber warfare action is an act of war,
expect missiles pulling the plug in return. After all "cyber" is just
another (the newest) dimension of battlespace.

Which brings me to a question: If one physically takes out a
datacenter, or its power suppliesr (all of them), or its connecting
cables (all of them) and thus rendering it non existent in cyberspace,
is this a cyber warfare action or a hybrid?

This is exactly why "cyber" is not needed as a separate distinction. In
any threat model, adversaries can be expected to use all options that
are available that meet the cost vs. risk constraints. This holds true
whether your adversaries include bored teenagers, insurgents, or
governments.

If you have particularly valuable assets, you need to allocate
commensurate spending on defense. This holds true whether you are a home
user, bank, Google, or Libya.

I don't like that "cyber" implies the need for a new approach, either on
attack or defense. If your adversaries have technology means available
within their cost constraints, then you have to defend against
technology-based attacks. If they have missiles or IEDs, they'll use
those as appropriate.

The real story is how much of modern life, including warfare, depends on
such fragile off-the-shelf software and hardware. The barrier to entry
today (fuzzer + protection bypass) is so much lower than in the 1960's
(physical access to machine room). Meanwhile, the number and value of
targets you can compromise with that minimal effort is astoundingly high
now.

-- 
Nate
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