nanog mailing list archives
Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol)
From: Jérôme Nicolle <jerome () ceriz fr>
Date: Tue, 7 Jun 2011 01:56:27 +0200
2011/6/7 Matthew Petach <mpetach () netflight com>:
Hm. With roughly 1B people on the internet today[0], 7 cycles of doubling would mean that in 15 years, we'd have 128B people on the internet? I strongly suspect the historical growth curve will *not* continue at that pace.
Well, todays Internet is made of 1B pairs of eyeballs with a roughly average of 120kbps each. Todays average in France is closer to 180kbps, it was closer to 100kbps two years ago (the 3-strikes law side-effect made individual bw consumption spikes with the emergence of many streaming services, far more BW-hungry than soft P2P protocols like eMule), whilst operators gained 8% of annual organic growth (18 to 21M subscribers). That's a bit more than 200% in 2 years. Before that, the avergae bw consumtion was relativelly stable over the last 6 years or so, only the number of residential access subscribers grew. Over the years to come, we'll still see some regions with a growing number of individual accesses while the well-connected regions will see their BW consumption grow even larger with new services. Isn't it what FTTH deployments all around the world are all about ? -- Jérôme Nicolle
Current thread:
- Re: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol (Re: Microsoft's participation in World IPv6 day), (continued)
- Message not available
- Re: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol (Re: Microsoft's participation in World IPv6 day) Tim Chown (Jun 03)
- Re: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol (Re: Microsoft's participation in World IPv6 day) Cameron Byrne (Jun 03)
- Re: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol (Re: Microsoft's participation in World IPv6 day) Jeroen Massar (Jun 03)
- Re: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol (Re: Microsoft's participation in World IPv6 day) Owen DeLong (Jun 03)
- Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Jeroen Massar (Jun 04)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Owen DeLong (Jun 04)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Jason Fesler (Jun 06)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Mark Andrews (Jun 06)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Owen DeLong (Jun 06)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Matthew Petach (Jun 06)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Jérôme Nicolle (Jun 06)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Owen DeLong (Jun 06)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Jérôme Nicolle (Jun 06)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Joly MacFie (Jun 07)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Mark Andrews (Jun 06)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Owen DeLong (Jun 06)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Mark Andrews (Jun 06)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Owen DeLong (Jun 07)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Dale W. Carder (Jun 07)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Mark Andrews (Jun 07)
- Re: Why no IPv6-only day (Was: Protocol-41 is not the only tunneling protocol) Neil Harris (Jun 07)