more on re: 2029, A Worldwide Mesh?

[David Farber <dave () farber net>]

Begin forwarded message:

From: Dewayne Hendricks <dewayne () warpspeed com>
Date: December 2, 2005 1:19:40 PM EST
To: Dewayne-Net Technology List <dewayne-net () warpspeed com>
Subject: [Dewayne-Net] re: 2029, A Worldwide Mesh?
Reply-To: dewayne () warpspeed com

[Note:  This comment comes from reader Thomas Leavitt.  DLH]

> From: Thomas Leavitt <thomas () thomasleavitt org>
> Date: December 2, 2005 9:53:02 AM PST
> To: dewayne () warpspeed com
> Subject: Re: [Dewayne-Net] 2029, A Worldwide Mesh?
>
> My prediction:
>
> The "world wide mesh" will arrive in Asia about 2019, and in the  
> U.S. in
> about 2039, due to frenetic lobbying and regulatory manipulation by
> incumbent telco oligopoly components eager to avoid having their
> existing revenue streams undermined.
>
> In 2019, the average Asian "broadband" connection will exceed 100  
> mpbs,
> and the average American "broadband" connection won't exceed 10  
> mpbs...
> and 5-10% of the American public will still dialing into the 'net at
> 56kbps via POTS lines.
>
> Given that, in 1999, an aunt of mine in Missouri was still  
> connecting to
> the world via a party line that required operator assistance to  
> place a
> long distance telephone call (I discovered this when attempting to  
> dial
> into my server during an emergency), I don't feel I'm being  
> particularly
> pessimistic.
>
> Thomas

Weblog at: <http://weblog.warpspeed.com>



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