nanog mailing list archives

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13


From: Tom Beecher <beecher () beecher cc>
Date: Wed, 14 Apr 2021 09:26:02 -0400

Brian-

I am aware. That's also not relevant at all to the point.

On Wed, Apr 14, 2021 at 9:22 AM Brian Johnson <brian.johnson () netgeek us>
wrote:

Tom,

You do realize that ERCOT is a non-profit organization….

On Apr 14, 2021, at 8:04 AM, Tom Beecher <beecher () beecher cc> wrote:

Funny how this obsession with a green grid has made the grid
unreliable, resulting in sales of gas-burning generators and
perishable fuel.  Dare I say it's not been worth it?

Yes, desire for renewable power sources is totally the reason that power
generators neglect proper preventative maintenance and adoption of lessons
learned during past problem periods. It absolutely has nothing to do with
profit being the most important thing ever. Right?

On Wed, Apr 14, 2021 at 8:48 AM Mark Tinka <mark@tinka.africa> wrote:



On 4/14/21 13:35, Billy Croan wrote:

Sounds like we all need to start keeping a few days reserve of energy
on hand at home now because the utilities can't be trusted to keep
their system online in 2021.

It just makes sense to plan along those lines, really. Despite popular
belief, power companies are preferring energy conservation from their
customers more than they do sales, because they just can't keep throwing
up new coal-fired or nuclear power stations a la the days of old (anyone
remember the 1973 and 1979 oil crises?)

Most people would assume that power companies want to sell more
electricity so they can make more money, but they dread the days when
the network is brought to its knees, even if the revenue will climb. So
between asking customers to save more on energy + being able to rely
less on fossil fuels for generation, one needs to consider their
personal energy security over the long term, fully or partially
independent of the traditional grid.


Funny how this obsession with a green grid has made the grid
unreliable, resulting in sales of gas-burning generators and
perishable fuel.  Dare I say it's not been worth it?

I wouldn't say that the obsession is without merit. It's just that
regular folk are only seeking the solution from one perspective - that
of the power generators. If folk (and that includes the gubbermints) met
the power companies half way, renewables would make a lot more sense,
more quickly. But as I said before, when we flick the switch, it must
turn on. End of. And then we revert to demanding power companies to
embrace the additional revenue, or fulfill their mandate to deliver a
basic, life-sustaining utility, no matter what.

Unfortunately, there really hasn't been sufficient education to regular
folk about what it takes to generate electricity reliably, no matter the
season. And yet, there is far more education out there about the
benefits of conserving it, and preserving the earth. So the view is not
balanced, and power companies as well as oil producers will knee-jerk to
either justify or distance themselves, rather than encourage a fair,
practical engagement. In the end, he that feels the most pressure,
caves... and this can go either way depending on which side of the
economic development curve you are sitting.



Nuclear and hydro were the only reasonable obvious choices and
ecological paralysis hamstrings those as well.

Ultimately, no target toward zero emissions is complete without some
kind of nuclear and/or hydro. Especially as a solution for peak demand,
(pumped) hydro will continue to be the most efficient option, if folk
are interested in keeping the lights on at 7:45PM on a wintery Tuesday
night.



Now is the time to speak the message.  Write your elected
representatives. Talk to your families and friends about energy.
Change minds.

There is room for co-existence, I think. But the honest discussions need
to be had, and not the glossy wish list that should be fixed by someone
else, because we are just citizens minding our own business.

Mark.




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