nanog mailing list archives

Re: IPv6 Pain Experiment


From: Owen DeLong <owen () delong com>
Date: Wed, 9 Oct 2019 12:36:27 -0700



On Oct 9, 2019, at 12:08 , bzs () theworld com wrote:


On October 8, 2019 at 23:51 owen () delong com (Owen DeLong) wrote:
(responding to my P.S.)

   P.S. My prediction?

   The world's major telcos et al, having had enough of various problems,
   from address exhaustion to non-stop security disasters, and the
   chaotic responses, propose and begin implementing an alternative. And
   that won't be through the IETF or similar.


I tend to doubt it.

While I don’t discount what you say about telcos below, the thing to remember
is that insisted that VOIP would never displace TDM in the average enterprise.

When was the last time you saw a business phone system using TDM and not
IP phones?

Sorry, I was referring to telcos as the major so-called "tier 1" and
long line providers, the cell phone service providers (along with the
likes of comcast but there aren't many like that), and in many
countries the monopoly providers of the whole, pardon the expression,
cloud of comm services, rather than their voice function which has
largely become just another app.

I wasn’t talking about voice specifically either, other than to cite it as an
example proving that they don’t always guess or bet right, even with the
big capitalization and government embedded infrastructure.

First they (the collective group I describe) honestly believe they can
manage large-scale engineering projects w/o the help of a lot of
volunteers beyond /fait accompli/ -- please stamp this new technology
we collectively have agreed to as a "standard". Compare and contrast
5G for example.

Yeah, it’s going to be very interesting to watch whether 5G turns into anything
beyond an incredible money sink.

Second are the liability issues. They may generally manage to escape
direct liability e.g. for business damage due to address exhaustion or
security problems etc but insurance companies, banks, et al, can't and
those are big players with sway over the "telcos" to do something
about services they are paying collectively many billions per month
for and incurring damages from.

No question there are interesting times ahead.

Owen


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