nanog mailing list archives
Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future
From: Owen DeLong <owen () delong com>
Date: Wed, 9 Mar 2011 09:28:02 -0800
On Mar 9, 2011, at 4:06 AM, Arturo Servin wrote:
On 9 Mar 2011, at 07:18, Joel Jaeggli wrote:one of these curves is steeper than the other.That's what we wanted for the first one.http://www.cidr-report.org/cgi-bin/plota?file=%2fvar%2fdata%2fbgp%2fv6%2fas2.0%2fbgp-active%2etxt&descr=Active%20BGP%20entries%20%28FIB%29&ylabel=Active%20BGP%20entries%20%28FIB%29&with=stephttp://www.cidr-report.org/cgi-bin/plota?file=%2fvar%2fdata%2fbgp%2fas2.0%2fbgp-active%2etxt&descr=Active%20BGP%20entries%20%28FIB%29&ylabel=Active%20BGP%20entries%20%28FIB%29&with=step If the slope on the second stays within some reasonable bounds of it's current trajactory then everything's cool, you buy new routers on schedule and the world moves on. The first one however will eventually kill us.It won't, it will take an "S" shape eventually. Possibly around 120k prefixes, then it will follow the normal growth of the Internet as v4 did.
I think it will grow a lot slower than IPv4 because with rational planning, few organizations should need to add more prefixes annually, the way they had to in IPv4 due to scarcity based allocation policies. Owen
Current thread:
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future, (continued)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Christopher Morrow (Mar 13)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Jeff Wheeler (Mar 13)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future William Herrin (Mar 13)
- RE: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future George Bonser (Mar 08)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Randy Bush (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Joel Jaeggli (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Randy Bush (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Antonio Querubin (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Joel Jaeggli (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Arturo Servin (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Owen DeLong (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future George Herbert (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future David Conrad (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Arturo Servin (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Randy Bush (Mar 09)
- RE: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future George Bonser (Mar 09)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future George Herbert (Mar 08)
- Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future Mikael Abrahamsson (Mar 08)