Re: IP4 Space

[Christopher Morrow <morrowc.lists () gmail com>]

On Tue, Mar 23, 2010 at 10:27 AM, Owen DeLong <owen () delong com> wrote:

> I think that the additive nature of the IPv6/IPv4 routing tables  will be the
> driving factor for deprecation of IPv4 pretty quickly once IPv6 starts to
> reach critical mass.  The problem is that we are so early on the IPv6
> adoption curve right now that nobody believes IPv6 will become
> ubiquitous fast enough to be relevant.

it seems to me that we'll have widespread ipv4 for +10 years at least,
potentially there will be enough ipv4 alive in 20 years to still
consider it 'widespread'. I also think we'll see more v4 routes
(longer prefixes) show up in the first 10yrs, before it gets better :(

I could be wrong, I hope I am, but...

> I think that IPv6 deployment is already showing signs of acceleration.
> I think that it will lurch forward suddenly shortly after (~6-12 months)
> IPv4 finally hits the runout wall in a couple of years.

I agree that v6 deployments seem to be getting
better/faster/stronger... I think that's good news, but we'll still be
paying the v4 piper for a while.

-Chris
> Owen