Re: OECD Reports on State of IPv6 Deployment for Policy Makers

[Owen DeLong <owen () delong com>]

On Apr 10, 2010, at 9:40 AM, William Herrin wrote:

> On Sat, Apr 10, 2010 at 12:31 AM, Randy Bush <randy () psg com> wrote:
> > karine perset's work is, as usual, good enough that it should be seen in
> > it's original, not some circle-je^h^hid hack of a small part of it.
> >
> > http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/48/8/44961688.pdf
>
> John,
>
> I'd like to call your attention to slide 8, the chart showing growth
> in fully working IPv6 deployments. Should that growth trend be allowed
> to continue, IPv4-only deployments can be expected to fall into the
> minority after another few hundred years.

> The upcoming conversion of IPv4 addressing into a zero-sum game (as a
> result of free pool depletion) is likely to increase this growth
> trend, but it's anybody's guess whether the new growth trend improves
> to something with a faster-than-linear feedback loop. And of course
> once free pool depletion hits, the cost to deploy additional IPv4
> systems starts to grow immediately, independent of pre-majority IPv6
> growth.
In fact, IPv6 is already showing greater than linear acceleration in
deployment, so, even though IPv4 hasn't run out yet, people are
beginning to catch on.

> We might want to consider additional public policy incentives to kick
> the IPv6 growth rate into a higher gear.
Such as?

Owen