nanog mailing list archives
Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption
From: Roland Dobbins <rdobbins () cisco com>
Date: Sat, 2 Feb 2008 09:42:04 +0700
On Feb 2, 2008, at 8:56 AM, George William Herbert wrote:
However, despite the "attractive target" angle of what got busted, and the proximity of the breaks to Islamic Terrorist problem spots, I don't see a statistical or evidentiary case made that these were anything but the usual occasional strings of normal random problems spiking up at the same time
My instinctive reaction was to recall the Auric Goldfinger quote as smb did - after reflection, however, it's highly unlikely that these issues are the result of a terrorist group action simply because, just like the economically-driven miscreants, the ideologically-driven miscreants have a vested interest in the communications infrastructure remaining intact, as they're so heavily dependent upon it.
There are always corner-cases like the Tamil Tiger incident, and people don't always act rationally even in the context of their own perceived (as opposed to actual) self-interest, but I just don't see any terrorist groups nor any governments involved in some kind of cable-cutting plot, as it's diametrically opposed to their commonality of interests (i.e., the terrorist groups want the comms to stay up so that they can make use of them, and the governments want the comms to stay up so that they can monitor the terrorist group comms).
----------------------------------------------------------------------- Roland Dobbins <rdobbins () cisco com> // 408.527.6376 voice Culture eats strategy for breakfast. -- Ford Motor Company
Current thread:
- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption, (continued)
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- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Martin Hannigan (Feb 01)
- RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Rod Beck (Feb 01)
- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Steven M. Bellovin (Feb 01)
- RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Rod Beck (Feb 01)
- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Steven M. Bellovin (Feb 01)
- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Jim Mercer (Feb 01)
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- RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption andrew2 (Feb 01)
- RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Rod Beck (Feb 01)
- RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Randy Epstein (Feb 01)
- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption George William Herbert (Feb 01)
- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Roland Dobbins (Feb 01)
- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Sean Donelan (Feb 02)
- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Mike Lewinski (Feb 01)
- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Michael Painter (Feb 01)
- Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption Martin Hannigan (Feb 01)