FNN+ Verizon $20B+ 5G network really is building

["Dave Farber" <farber () gmail com>]

Begin forwarded message:

> From: Dave Burstein <daveb () dslprime com>
> Date: May 7, 2017 at 3:11:29 PM EDT
> To: news () dslprime com
> Subject: FNN+ Verizon $20B+ 5G network really is building
>
> May 8
>
> FNN/5GW/DSL Prime in an experimental short form, with G.fast News beneath. 
>
> The news: Verizon $20B 5G network to 1/3 to 1/2 of the U.S. is on; John Cioffi Wednesday will explore terabit DSL; 
> Telefonica CTO rips the 5G hype and rush; NTT CTO reverses position, now expects mmWave 2020; Super Wi-Fi is 
> delivering 300 meg symmetrical at a fraction of mmWave costs; AT&T has massive unused spectrum holdings; Belgacom: 
> Nothing “needs” 5G;  Ralph de la Vega and a story worth reading: 5 G.fast stories
>
> Reply "subscribe" to be added, "un" to be dropped 
>
> New York: Verizon is going ahead full speed with a $20B 5G network to 1/3 to 1/2 of the U.S. Not a trial, test, fake, 
> or limited. Lowell McAdam has made the decision although it’s not announced. 6 part article linked below.
>
> Paris: Terabit DSL (not a typo) is John Cioffi’s talk 9 a.m. Wednesday at the Paris G.fast Summit. If it were anyone 
> but John, I’d think this pure science fiction. If testing proves out, this will be historic. (Submillimeter wave with 
> waveguide.) Four distinguished Professors think John’s on target http://bit.ly/2qQcyM5 
>
> *** Do check G.fast News, below
>
> Spain: CTO Enrique Blanco of Telefonica warns the rush to get something called “5G” is forcing some very bad 
> decisions. He asks, “So what's new? They simply end up extending 4G capabilities [with] little differentiation from 
> advanced LTE technology.” Enrique is saying publicly what his peers tell me privately. Some wisdom 
> http://bit.ly/2qGp7NK 
>
> Japan: Seizo Onoe, NTT DOCOMO CTO, changed his mind and now expects mmWave in 2020. In 2015, he predicted little 
> mmWave mobile before 2022-2023. That became the common wisdom among leading engineers. The technical progress in the 
> last year has been extraordinary and the costs are way down. http://bit.ly/2qe6Pne
>
> California: George Ginis used Mimosa’s super Wi-Fi to connect a customer a customer with 435.74 down, 331.83 up, and 
> 4 ms ping. 5 GHz Mimosa is designed like a mmWave network but a heck of a lot cheaper than 28 GHz. Interesting 
> alternative http://bit.ly/2qenVl5
>
> Dallas: AT&T has 60 MHz of fallow spectrum. There never was a U.S. spectrum shortage. http://bit.ly/2qeoeMD
>
> Belgium: Raphaël Glatt of Belgacom reminds us, “There is no service today that requires 5G.”  LTE is going to a 
> gigabit this year, plenty for just about everything. Nothing “needs” 1 ms latency. Verizon and AT&T are building to a 
> 5-10 ms target; I don’t think any telco has committed to  1 ms. It would require moving all the intelligence to the 
> edge, brutally expensive. A connected car expert tells me “There’s nothing I can’t do with 3 ms DSRC.” Virtual 
> reality apps are being designed for 10-15 ms.
>  
> Next issue: A deep dive into Massive MIMO, already on http://5gwnews.com/index.php/mimo 
>
> My opinion: Blanco is right much of what’s being promoted is really “4G and a press release.” I call it “Fake 5G.” 
> The level of bs has become ridiculous. It’s time to shout “The emperor has no clothes” to many of the top companies 
> in the industry. Much more http://bit.ly/2qeiz9l 
>
> “5g” has become so meaningless I’m about to move 5gwnews.com to wirelessone.news.
>
> *** Virtual fiber by Sckipio. Extend your fiber with 100-300 meters of  single-port G.fast. It can save expensive 
> trenching for cell towers, small cells, basement fiber, commercial customers and others. A very thin management layer 
> allows operators to keep their existing GPON management layer. Sckipio makes it effortless to add G.fast to any GPON 
> network.  http://bit.ly/Fiberextend (ad)
>
> Do read: Ralph de la Vega of AT&T and the Price of Discrimination http://bit.ly/2qP8i0r 
> Ralph de la Vega, one of the most capable executives in telecom, retired as Vice-Chairman of AT&T. He brought the 
> iPhone to America, working closely with Steve Jobs. I first met him in the early years of DSL, when his BellSouth 
> division was far more efficient than any other in the U.S. Gary Becker won a Nobel Prize for developing an economic 
> analysis of the cost of discrimination. Ralph's career shows how a company benefits by not discriminating.
>
> Nearly sixty years after Ralph came to America as a young boy, you can still hear Cuba in his voice. He worked his 
> way through college as a janitor; he probably didn’t have the style to get a job at many companies. Even today, 
> someone like de la Vega from a working class background, with strong ethnicity, from a little known college, would 
> rarely get a chance at Google, Facebook, or Apple. Worth a click http://bit.ly/2qP8i0r
>
> Verizon’s $20B mmWave Network is building.
> Seven articles, with more to come.
> The Network Design http://bit.ly/2pV8hI0
> McAdam’s Inspiration: Costs are down, tech is working, Verizon has deep issues, and he wants a legacy 
> http://bit.ly/2po1p54
> The evidence http://bit.ly/2pU2aFW
> The $4B to $7B Fiber Network http://bit.ly/2qQmLYZ
> They didn’t buy spectrum because this was planned http://bit.ly/2pQrzzP
> They are building because deals will be tough http://bit.ly/2pQt0hY
> They had to do something because the competition is catching up http://bit.ly/2qedygK
>
> Shorts:
> Kumu Networks full duplex wireless backhaul for small cells is in production and deployed at several European telcos. 
> Their board includes the cream of the Stanford EE Department: Sachin Katti, Philip Levis, Nick Mckeown, Guru Parulkar 
> and Arogyaswami Paulraj, so great things are expected.  No, they haven’t yet reduced it to size appropriate for a 
> mobile phone. When they do, that can add 30% to 70% to the capacity of a mobile system.
> Caroline Gabriel at Wireless Watch reports “Ericsson is planning to sell a variety of TV assets – Tandberg TV, Azuki, 
> Mediaroom, Red Bee, Fabrix nPVR, Envivio encoding, Technicolor Broadcast.” Her reports often dig deeper than almost 
> anyone else. Wireless Watch and Rethink, are priced for corporate buys but deliver value for money.
> Rohde and Schwarz has a useful Antenna Basics pdf for us non-EE’s at http://bit.ly/2kJJyD5 . What I really need is a 
> deep explanation of beamforming choices. Any pointers?
> Mediatek, #2 to Qualcomm, is having trouble finding customers for their new 10 nm LTE chip. (Digitimes, Electronic 
> Daily News) Xiaomi has backed away, LeEco doesn’t have the money, and few others are buying in. If Qualcomm’s 835 
> delivers what’s promised, it should own that market. Samsung and Intel also have hopes.
> Kevin Krewell, Jim McGregor, and Paul Teich have taken over Will Strauss’ Forward Concepts - Wireless/DSP Newsletter. 
> Will’s joining them at Tirias Research. If they maintain Will’s standard, the free subscription is a must-have. 
> newsletter () tiriasresearch com.
>
> G.fast News http://gfastnews.com/
>
> Terabits over phone wire? Wednesday May 10 at the Paris G.fast Summit may prove historic. At 9 a.m. John Cioffi will 
> present TDSL. Can a waveguide deliver submillimeter waves of copper? 1,000 times faster than what we can do today, 
> but some very respected EE’s are impressed.I’ve seen the presentation and it’s compelling. Details on Tuesday 
> http://bit.ly/2qQcyM5 when the embargo is over. Here’s what’s public. bit.ly/2qQcyM5
>
> Trevor Linney of BT follows John. He’ll bring details from the field of BT’s 100,000 homes already passed, the first 
> large deployment in the world. A dozen more of the best in the business will be there to present and then answer my 
> questions. By Thursday, we will all know a great deal more.
>
> Taiwan’s Chunghwa claimed the first G.fast deployment, but nothing happened after the press release. That’s one 
> reason the government fired the CEO. The new CEO is moving forward. Bezeq in Israel also is actively installing 
> (Adtran/Sckipio)
>
> Send me more news. Daveb () dslprime com
>
> Gigabit+ and Longer Reach as Amendment 3 Approved http://bit.ly/2po8RNq
>
> ITU makes it official. Amendments 2 & 3 promise longer reach, reverse power, downloaded upgrades for the customer 
> equipment, DTA over coax, and a dozen other improvements. The major chip vendors, Broadcom and Sckipio, are already 
> hard at work. The carriers are hoping for equipment in the second half of 2017. The amendments extend the frequency 
> range up to 212 MHz. 
>
> AT&T has been vocal they want a true gigabit to compete with cable, not "up to a gigabit." Comcast is well along 
> deploying gigabit cable to 40M U.S. homes. That will almost double speeds on very short loops, such as the apartment 
> buildings AT&T is planning to serve.
>
> BT needs longer reach. Their finance guys insist they use existing cabinets rather than building to the distribution 
> points closer to the customer. G.fast was designed for 50-200 meters but existing cabinets are often 350 meters away 
> or more. The new standard increases the maximum transmit power up to +8 dBm, with a practical goal of 300 megabits 
> 300 meters
>
> *** Paris G.fast May 9-11 is an unmissable event for anyone deploying networks. Trevor Linney of BT, deploying 10M 
> lines; John Cioffi with a bombshell; and just about every company in the business except Broadcom. In three days, 
> you'll master G.fast & discover the state of the art. I'm chair and promise a very high S/N. http://bit.ly/GFParis 
> (Ad) Jennie's bringing her camera.
> The ITU has also started work on G.mgfast (Multi-gigabit.) Alcatel/Nokia is the pioneer here with XG-FAST, which 
> reaches over 10 gigabits over 30 meters in lab tests. (Below) It uses full duplex, more spectrum, and other new 
> techniques. Huawei also is making contributions http://bit.ly/2po8RNq
>
> 300 Megabits Upstream For Australian Business http://bit.ly/2qPraMO
>
> G.fast can do what ADSL & its successor VDSL can't: Deliver fast upstream or down, whichever is needed most. 
> Comvergence sells to Australian businesses 300 up, 300 down and finds that is preferred over any flavor of ADSL or 
> VDSL Comvergence runs fiber to the basement where they have a Calix DSLAM and use phone wire from there. The prize in 
> Australia is the big National Broadband Network contract. They are installing 700,000+ lines of "fiber to the 
> distribution point" as well as millions of lines of vectored VDSL and fiber home.
>
> Here in New York, Verizon can't bring me more than 6 megabits and I had to deliver DSL Prime over cable. 
> http://bit.ly/2qPraMO
>
> Adtran: G.fast Volume is 2018 http://bit.ly/2qdRRh9
>
> Adtran had a great Q1 and expects to have strong 2017. G.fast isn't selling enough yet to be a factor. Mike Foliano 
> doesn't expect G.fast volume to ramp until 2018, even if announcements come sooner. 
>
> All but a few companies are moving cautiously. British Telecom has passed 100,000 homes and looks to move quickly to 
> 3M/year. Bezeq in Israel is rapidly deploying. AT&T - Adtran's keystone customer - is enthusiastic about G.fast but 
> not buying much equipment yet. NBN in Australia is just beginning with a million lines of "fiber to the distribution 
> point + G.fast."  An amazing 100 telcos around the world are trialing Adtran G.fast, an encouraging sign. 
>
> Adtran announced they have shipped 10M ports of vectored DSL, far more than any telcos have declared. That suggests 
> at least one large carrier (?Century, AT&T) has been deploying vectored gear without offering that to customers. That 
> wouldn't be surprising; in the past, companies like AT&T  have waited on new offerings until they were widely 
> deployed. More http://bit.ly/2qdRRh9 
>
> G.fast Made in Europe by Altice http://bit.ly/2pnIVBI
>
> Nuno Monteiro at Altice Labs Portugal  is ready to ship CPEs, 16 port G.fast DSLAMs, and single port “fiber range 
> extenders.” They are working on a 24 port DSLAM as well, using Sckipio chips. The single port has a natural 
> application when you can bring fiber close (<200 meters) and want to save time and the expense of running fiber all 
> the way. They are seeing enough demand for coax connectivity they offer a unit with both coax and twisted pair 
> interfaces.
>
> Altice acquired the company when it took control of Portugal Telecom and renamed it Altice Labs. It has a proud 
> history going back to building digital switches in the 1950’s. Today they make GPON ONTs in the hundreds of 
> thousands. Portugal has fiber home in most of the country, far ahead of most of Europe. Having in-house manufacturing 
> is one reason Altice America is the first in the world to replace DOCSIS cable with fiber home. More 
> http://bit.ly/2pnIVBI
>
> Reply "subscribe" to be added, "un" to be dropped
> Volume 16, #12 May 6, 2017
>
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