Interesting People mailing list archives

(end of thread for a while djf) Re: One of four U.S. jobs headed overseas 1 and comment on


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Thu, 14 Jun 2007 15:32:05 -0400



Begin forwarded message:

From: Cameron Wilson <wilson_c () hq acm org>
Date: June 14, 2007 10:25:26 AM EDT
To: David Farber <dave () farber net>, ip () v2 listbox com
Cc: Peter Harsha <harsha () cra org>, Moshe Vardi <vardi () CS RICE EDU>, John White <white () hq acm org>, "Aspray, William" <waspray () indiana edu> Subject: Re: [IP] Re: One of four U.S. jobs headed overseas 1 and comment on

Dave --

I was at that hearing where Dr. Binder testified.  I encourage people to
actually read the testimony or watch the webcast and not get sucked into the
headlines:

"<http://science.house.gov/publications/hearings_markups_details.aspx? NewsID
=1864>"

It was a very good and balanced hearing.

What he stated was an estimate of the amount of jobs that COULD BE offshored as an upward bound. Right after that he stated very clearly that it isn't
realistic to expect that all those jobs will be offshored.

He said he raises these issues not to undercut trade but to point out how we
need to reform our education and training system to deal with a shift to
"personal service" jobs; ones that need more face-to-face contact. He went on to point out that it was critical to remain the "hot bed of innovation"
by investing in basic research and encouraging students to go into STEM
fields. He further stated the need to lead in creating new industries, but also realize when to let them go. (The example he gave was the television
manufacturing industry.)

The next witness on the panel Dr. Martin Neil Baily, Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, stated that his studies had found a more conservative estimate (11%) of jobs vulnerable. He went on to
provide a table in his testimony (the last page)

"<http://democrats.science.house.gov/Media/File/Commdocs/hearings/ 2007/full/
12jun/baily_testimony.pdf>"

that showed that IT job growth has been very strong from 1999 to 2006, but
there had been shifts within the sector.

The one thing that EVERY witness on the panel agreed on was that need to
invest more resources in basic research and encourage MORE students to go
into STEM education programs (and strengthen and invest these programs).
These findings were similar to the ones from the ACM globalization study (<"
http://www.acm.org/globalizationreport/";>) from last year.

Cameron


On 6/14/07 9:29 AM, "David Farber" <dave () farber net> wrote:



Begin forwarded message:

From: "Robert J. Berger" <rberger () ibd com>
Date: June 14, 2007 12:10:13 AM EDT
To: Mike Cheponis <mac () wireless com>
Cc: David Farber <dave () farber net>, Dewayne Hendricks
<dewayne () warpspeed com>
Subject: Re: [IP] One of four U.S. jobs headed overseas 1 and comment on

Well, that will get them far when the entire economy collapses and
the US becomes the cheap labor pool cause they don't have any
practical skills and all the goods and services have to come from
overseas.

The differential in pay between the US and India / China will not
stay so unbalanced and there are other ways to compete other than
just salaries.

We have too many lawyers, bankers and "entertainers". None of those
people create wealth. They just manipulate laws, money or consumers'
psychology.

The next wave of wealth creation will be in areas like materials, bio-
tech and quantum computing. The US is falling behind in all of these
fields as less US citizens are capable of discerning reality from
spin and have no grasp of basic scientific principals. The main
reason that high tech work is going overseas is not just because of
salary, but because there are many more folks there with more
engineering skills than here. In India and China, being an engineer
is high prestige. They are producing MANY more science/engineering
graduates  than we are.

Young people of today need to be preparing themselves to compete with
brain power, science and engineering. We need to be making our
society more efficient in every dimension to make us more
competitive, that too will take science and engineering.

Instead we have been doing the opposite. Dumbing down students,
rewarding unreality tv fame over real creativity and stifling
innovation thru re-privatization / monopolization of key infrastructure.

The US is hurtling into making itself a 3rd world nation because it
encourages its children to be lawyers, bankers, spin-meister
politicians and unreality TV stars.


On Jun 13, 2007, at 6:16 PM, David Farber wrote:

I've been encouraging smart young folks who have an ounce of
ability to COMPLETELY avoid the SCIENCES, TECHNOLOGY, and
ENGINEERING sectors, as those jobs will be done by very cheap
foreign labor.  There is no point in competing with some guy in
China who gets paid a bowl of rice and lives in a tent.

Go into INVESTMENT BANKING, LAWYERING, ENTERTAINMENT, SPORTS,
FINANCIAL SERVICES or something that can't be offshored.

Forget about SCIENCE, ENGINEERING, and TECHNOLOGY - there isn't any
future in those fields.

––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
Robert J. Berger - Internet Bandwidth Development, LLC.
Voice: 408-882-4755 eFax: +1-408-490-2868
http://www.ibd.com




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--
Cameron Wilson
Director of Public Policy
Association for Computing Machinery
1100 Seventeenth Street, NW
Suite 507
Washington DC 20036
202 659-9712
www.acm.org/usacm




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