more on Pentagon: "Climate Change Will Destroy Us"

[Dave Farber <dave () farber net>]

The emphasis is on plausible not sci fi so such futures usually are 
considered possible. That suggests  that current actions be sensitive to 
such possibilities as they were paid attention to in the Cold War (much of 
the time) djf


From: Esther Dyson <edyson () edventure com>

this is interesting, but from what I know of scenario planning, the report 
outlined a variety of *plausible* scenarios without predicting that any of 
them *will* happen.

"The document predicts that abrupt climate change could bring the planet
to the edge of anarchy ...."   i.e. IF there is climate change, then....

THere's a big difference between saying the government (and all of us) 
should take the possibility of climate change seriously, and saying that 
the UK is likely to turn into  a Siberian climate (why would the seas rise 
when the temperature is freezing??).  This seems like an alarmist report 
about a measured scenario analysis that is indeed worth paying attention to.

It would be interesting to hear directly from the authors.

Esther 

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