IT labor force demands might diminish within this decade (???)

[Dave Farber <dave () farber net>]

------ Forwarded Message
From: Philip Koopman <koopman () cmu edu>
Organization: Carnegie Mellon University
Reply-To: koopman () cmu edu
Date: Sat, 12 Oct 2002 11:03:38 -0400
To: software-group () cs cmu edu
Subject: IT labor force demands might diminish within this decade (???)


> Gartner analysts took out their crystal balls and came up with a list
> of ten predictions that will impact enterprise businesses. The predictions
> cross over technology, economics, and social boundaries over that will
> morph during the next eight years.

One of their predictions is a shrinking IT labor force.
 
> The concept is that like the agrarian industry, Technology will reach a
> point where IT system automation substantially lowers the labor requirements.

I think they are seriously underestimating the difficulty of getting the
IT systems to really work, much less be dependable.  But it is an
interesting concept to consider over a longer timeframe.

The full article can be found at:
http://techupdate.zdnet.com/techupdate/stories/main/0,14179,2885192,00.html


Cheers,
-- Phil


Phil Koopman -- koopman () cmu edu -- http://www.ece.cmu.edu/~koopman


------ End of Forwarded Message

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