IP: Research: Japan's mobile communications market in 2010

[Dave Farber <dave () farber net>]

------ Forwarded Message
From: Adam Peake <ajp () glocom ac jp>
Date: Thu, 14 Feb 2002 16:08:06 +0900
To: dave () farber net
Subject: Research: Japan's mobile communications market in 2010

Dave, for IP if you wish.

GLOCOM and Accenture have published a summary of research looking at
the future of Japan's mobile market.  The report describes 4 possible
scenarios and suggests that the mobile communications market will be
worth 2-10 trillion yen in 2010.

See <http://www.glocom.org/tech_reviews/tech_news/20020213_s1/index.html>

[Purpose and Scope of Research]
The purpose of this research is to understand the present situation
and to survey the future of third and fourth generation (3G and 4G,
respectively) mobile communications systems. Four diffusion sample
scenarios are generated from the point of view on how far 3G or
non-3G wireless services will be accepted by the market by the year
2010, when 4G services are expected to materialize. In the basic
concept of 4G, which is at present under joint examination by the
government and private sectors, seamless cooperation among mobile
phones and other wireless services is intended. The practical image
of 4G services depends upon how these services are integrated as of
2010. Studies were conducted to present the future prospects for each
of four scenarios of the shift of power balance among the key players
who are potential leaders of service integration, as well as the kind
of service integration patterns that can exist as a result. Also, in
order to understand the quantitative difference among the scenarios,
trial calculations were made on a market scale (basic fees and
traffic fees) of 3G and non-3G charged wireless communication
services.

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Thanks,

Adam

Adam Peake
GLOCOM Tokyo


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