IP: Survey: Wireless Surpasses Wireline in 3 Years

[David Farber <dave () farber net>]

> From: Dewayne Hendricks <dewayne () warpspeed com>
>
>
> Survey: Wireless Surpasses Wireline in 3 Years
>
> Summary:
>
> A survey conducted by Arthur D. Little at a recent industry meeting found 
> 86% of respondents believe wireless will overtake and oversell landline 
> service within the decade: 19% say the change will occur within 3 years, 
> 38% said within 5 years and 29% within 10 years. The survey also found the 
> top security concern affecting wireless is virus protection, with privacy 
> trailing not far behind. Results also identify battery technology as a key 
> component to enabling next-gen technology.
>
> Full Article:
>
> CAMBRIDGE, Mass.--(BUSINESS WIRE) -- In as few as three years, wireless 
> communications could overtake and outsell landline service in the global 
> market, according to a survey by Arthur D. Little (ADL), one of the 
> world's premier management and technology consulting firms.
>
> The survey, conducted at the Power2001 conference in Anaheim, California, 
> sought the opinions of the 500 conference attendees who are professionals 
> in the fields of mobile computing, wireless electronic devices and battery 
> technology.
>
> Of the 100 attendees who participated in the survey, 86% felt that 
> wireless would overtake and oversell landline service within the decade: 
> 19% said the change would occur within 3 years, 38% said within 5 years 
> and 29% within 10 years.
>
> "This is a very strong statement - to think that by the year 2006 we could 
> be a wireless world," said Rob Fricke, associate director in the ADL 
> Communications, Information Technology, and Electronics Group, who 
> analyzed the survey results. "It is clear that the overwhelming majority 
> of the audience feels that there will be a significant shift toward global 
> wireless connectivity in the very near future."
>
> Other significant findings of the survey centered on issues of security 
> within the wireless communications industry. Not surprising to ADL 
> experts, attendees said the top security concern affecting wireless is 
> virus protection, with privacy trailing not far behind.
>
> "Many of the votes reflect people's recent experiences and the publicity 
> to which they have been exposed," said Martyn Roetter, vice president and 
> director of Arthur D. Little's Communications, Information Technology and 
> Electronics Group. "In the wake of the recent crippling viruses such as 
> NIMBA and Code Red and the increased vigilance surrounding personal 
> privacy, these results are not a surprise. It can be assumed that in the 
> near future we will see wireless users paying a premium for privacy."
>
> The survey results also identified battery technology as a key component 
> to enabling next generation technology. "We are seeing the battery 
> industry continue to be pushed towards developing technology for the 
> production of long-lasting, smaller batteries," said Dr. Christina 
> Lampe-Onnerud, Director of Battery Technology at ADL's Technology and 
> Innovation department. "This heightened interest in high-performing 
> smaller batteries is also leading to the need for improved safety of 
> battery components and manufacturing."
>
> Additional survey findings include:
>
> --Reliability of service, not price, is the most significant barrier to 
> wireless use
>
> --Concerns about the slow market environment and uncertainty about when 
> business will improve are weighing heavily on all divisions of the 
> wireless sector.
>
> --Mobile computing and a wireless Internet are the next wireless 
> communications applications in store for both the business and consumer markets
>
> --Almost 2/3 of respondents prefer using several specialized devices 
> (cell, pager, PDA, etc) than using one solution
>
> --Battery power and global connectivity are the biggest challenges for 
> success in 3G devices
>
> Among the attendees at the conference were ADL professionals in the fields 
> of portable power, fuel cells, communication and information technology, 
> battery chemistry/technology, wireless/internet, and telecommunications 
> and information systems, who gave presentations and served as moderators. 
> To view complete survey results visit: 
> <http://www.adltechnology.com/power2001/results.htm>.
>
> Arthur D. Little is the world's premier consulting firm working at the 
> interface of business and the technologies that drive innovation and 
> growth. Its scientists, engineers, and management experts work to advance 
> technology, develop novel products, direct strategy decisions backed by 
> technical know-how, and leverage intellectual property for business gain. 
> The company's Technology & Innovation business is ISO 9001 certified and 
> has more than 70 research and development laboratories. For over 40 years, 
> the company has invented products and solved strategic and technical 
> challenges for power industry manufacturers, OEMs, and suppliers. For more 
> information visit www.adltechnology.com.


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