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IP: Re: "Political Dynamite" Fails to Explode: Extreme proposals of Treasury'sO'Neil


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Thu, 21 Jun 2001 05:32:28 -0400



From: Jamus Jerome Lim <jamus () internationaleconomics net>
Reply-To: "jamus () internationaleconomics net"
        <jamus () internationaleconomics net>
To: "'dave () farber net'" <dave () farber net>
Subject: RE: Re: "Political Dynamite" Fails to Explode: Extreme proposals 
of Treasury'sO'Neil
Date: Thu, 21 Jun 2001 17:13:07 +0800
X-Mailer: Microsoft Internet E-mail/MAPI - 8.0.0.4211

As an economist, I felt it necessary to place the comments of Mr. Cochrane
in some perspective.

The GST, in itself, it not inherently evil (much as we would like to make
it out to be). There is a very fine economic argument for the
implementation of a GST - individuals who consume more goods and services
should pay more tax, and this form of taxation is far broader and
infinitely harder to dodge, not to mention its contribution to promoting
greater equity.

However, what is happening is that governments are taking a good idea and
getting the implementation all wrong. Ideally, the GST should replace
income taxation entirely - and if the economic calculus is done right,
there should be no significant changes in the tax burden faced by
individuals. Obviously, reality is not that simple, due to differences in
preferences and lifestyles between consumers, and the unwillingness of
governments to completely forgo income taxation.

However, even granted these variances, there shouldn't be major changes in
the taxes paid by individuals. This is obviously not happening is
Australia, at least on the basis of anecdotal evidence. It has somehow
failed in its homework, or has intentionally done so to enrich its coffers
(for which, if true, they will likely pay the price at the next elections).

I would argue that this failure to correctly implement the GST is not
inherent in the theory itself. As a counterexample, consider the case of
Singapore, which implemented a GST system some time in the 1990s. As part
of the tax reform package, it slashed income taxes at all levels, and
imposed a small 3 per cent GST. Despite the initial fears, most
Singaporeans do not now suffer from an increased tax burden, nor are they
clamouring that the government has 'mugged the economy'.

Hence, rather than instinctively striking out at the failure of the
programme in Australia, perhaps we should also look at why it failed. Was
it due to negligence on the part of those who planned the tax? Or is it
simply a matter of teething problems, due to unanticipated realities in
implementation? And how fast is the Australian government working to remedy
this problem?

As a final note, the OECD does maintain a blacklist of known 'tax havens',
and as a matter of fact, these countries are in the midst of an ongoing
struggle with the OECD. See the FT article reprinted here:

http://www.globalpolicy.org/nations/haven/2001/0117truc.htm

You can view the OECD tax haven report to ministers here:

http://www.oecd.org//daf/fa/harm_tax/Report_En.pdf

Hope this clarifies the issue.

----
Jamus Jerome Lim
Regional Economic Studies
Institute of Southeast Asian Studies



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