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IP: Sci-Am refutes 'The Skeptical Environmentalist'


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Sun, 30 Dec 2001 18:09:01 -0500


Date: Sun, 30 Dec 2001 13:31:12 -0800
To: farber () dsl cis upenn edu
From: Denise Caruso <caruso () hybridvigor org>
Subject: Sci-Am refutes 'The Skeptical Environmentalist'

Greetings,

I got the latest Scientific American yesterday, and was extremely impressed with a piece that's NOT the cover story, but IMHO should be (instead of more hype-o-rama on human cloning).

It's called "Misleading Math About the Earth," and it's a powerful refutation of the book "The Skeptical Environmentalist: Measuring the Real State of the World", consisting of essays by four accomplished environmental scientists.*

The book's author, Danish statistician and political scientist Bjorn Lomborg, as you may recall in the media blitz surrounding its publication, concluded that everything is getting better, environmentally speaking.

Many of us who heard this conclusion were gap-jawed with disbelief, apparently for good reason.

Sci-Am editor John Rennie says in the introduction to the article, "The problem with Lomborg's conclusion is that the scientists themselves disavow it ... His seemingly dispassionate outsider's view, they told us, is often marred by an incomplete use of the data or a misunderstanding of the underlying science."

Which is kind of an understatement after you read the four essays.

The book came from the social-science side of Cambridge University Press, which apparently (and if true, kind of remarkably) did not have the manuscript reviewed before publication by an interdisciplinary team that included natural scientists.

As Steven Schneider says in his essay's conclusion, "Unfortunately, angry reviews such as this one will be the result. Worse still, many laypeople and policymakers won't see the reviews and could well be tricked into thinking thousands of citations and hundreds of pages constitute balanced scholarship."

In service of setting the record straight or at the very least providing some balanced perspective on such a vital (not to mention politically fraught) issue, the article is well worth the effort to go out and buy the magazine if you don't subscribe (text isn't on the http://sciam.com website).

Best,
Denise


* Steven Schneider of Stanford, a MacArthur Fellow and highly regarded climate change biologist, editor of the interdisciplinary journal Climatic Change and the "Encyclopedia of Climate and Weather"; John Holdren of Harvard, professor of environmental science and environmental policy, and member of the National Academy of Sciences; John Bongaarts, member of the Royal Dutch Academy of Sciences and former chair of the Panel on Population Projections of the National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council; and Thomas Lovejoy, biodiversity adviser to the president of World Bank and senior adviser to the president of the United Nations Foundation.



--
Denise Caruso
Founder & Executive Director
The Hybrid Vigor Institute
+1 415.543.8113 vox/fax
http://hybridvigor.org

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