Interesting People mailing list archives

IP: Re: For wireless ISPs, small is beautiful


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Sat, 15 Dec 2001 07:44:06 -0500

From: Dewayne Hendricks <dewayne () warpspeed com>

[Note: This comment comes from a reader of Farber's IP list, who saw a post I made earlier this week. I encourage reader to check out the two papers that he cites. DLH]

At 3:10 -0800 12/15/01, Andrew Odlyzko wrote:
From: Andrew Odlyzko <odlyzko () dtc umn edu>
To: dewayne () warpspeed com
Subject: Re: IP: For wireless ISPs, small is beautiful
Date: Sat, 15 Dec 2001 03:10:35 -0800
MIME-Version: 1.0

Dewayne,

Apropos your most recent posting to Dave Farber's IP list (and also
other ones), an important factor that helps explain why giant new
ventures like Metricom and Webvan failed is that Internet time
is a myth.  New technologies are generally being developed faster
than before, but they generally do not spread through society any
faster.  That is a key reason that most dot-com business plans
were doomed to failure.  I have a brief note about this, entitled
"The myth of Internet time," which appeared in the April 2001 issue
of "Technology Review."  It is based on an earlier and more detailed
paper on this subject, entitled "The slow evolution of electronic
publishing," which appeared in 1997.  Both are available at

   <http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko/doc/eworld.html>.

Being small allows for adjusting to the speed with which new
products and services can diffuse, as opposed to having to depend
on every conceivable consumer jumping on your bandwagon the moment
you open for business.  Even home delivery of groceries is being
done profitably by a few companies in a few places, and is growing.

Best regards,
Andrew

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