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IP: Evidence and Comments on the Source of the Mailed Anthrax


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Sun, 09 Dec 2001 15:52:28 -0500


Date: Sun, 09 Dec 2001 12:58:52 -0500
From: tim finin <finin () cs umbc edu>
Organization: UMBC http://umbc.edu/

This is a very interesting compilation of information about the antrax
mailings. The author is a molecular biologist formerly of Cornell
Medical College and now Research Professor at the State University of
New York.  She chairs the Federation of American Scientists' (FAS)
Working Group on Biological Weapons, a core group of ten professionals
with expertise ranging from technical to medical to legal to
political, and, in addition, dozens of collaborating consultants on
specialized issues.

 A Compilation of Evidence and Comments on the Source of the Mailed
 Anthrax, Barbara Hatch Rosenberg, Federation of American Scientists,
 revised 12/6/01

 http://fas.org/bwc/news/anthraxpaper.htm

The final section of this article offers some interesting hypotheses:

  9.MOST LIKELY HYPOTHESIS

  The perpetrator is an American microbiologist who has access to
  recently-weaponized anthrax or to the expertise and materials for
  making it, in a US government or contractor lab. He does not live in
  or near Trenton, but more probably in the Washington, DC area. Trenton
  is probably accessible to him (it is a stop on the Amtrak line that
  runs along the East coast), but if he is smart enough to handle
  anthrax he is smart enough not to mail it from his home town.

  The anthrax in the letters was made and weaponized in a US government
  or contractor lab. It might have been made recently by the perpetrator
  on his own, or made as part of the US biodefense program; or it may be
  a remnant of the US biological weapons program before Nixon terminated
  the program in 1969.  Weaponization of dry anthrax after 1972, when
  the Biological Weapons Convention was signed, could be construed as a
  violation of the Convention.

  The motive of the perpetrator was not necessarily to kill but to
  create public fear, thereby raising the profile of BW. He simply took
  advantage of Sept 11 to throw suspicion elsewhere. The letters warned
  of anthrax or the need to take antibiotics, making it possible for
  those who handled the letters to protect themselves; and it seems
  unlikely that the perpetrator would have anticipated that the rough
  treatment of mail in letter sorters etc, would force anthrax spores
  through the pores of the envelopes (which were taped to keep the
  anthrax inside) and infect postal workers.

  The choice of media as targets seemed to have been designed to ensure
  publicity about the threat of biological weapons. One can only
  speculate that the perpetrator may have wished to push the US
  government toward retaliatory action against some enemy, or to attract
  funding or recognition to some program with which he is associated.
  The choice of Senators Daschle and Leahy as targets may be a clue that
  has yet to be deciphered.

  The US government has known for some time that the anthrax terrorism
  was an inside job. They may be reluctant to admit this.  They also may
  not yet have adequate hard evidence to convict the perpetrator.  In
  opposition to most of the countries of the world, the Bush
  administration turned down a Protocol to monitor compliance with the
  ban on biological weapons last July. In so doing it reversed the
  policy of the previous three administrations aimed at strengthening
  the Biological Weapons Convention, which lacks verification
  measures. The anthrax attacks have had no effect on administration
  policy: the US delegation has just resisted subsequent international
  efforts to strengthen the Convention at its five-yearly Review
  Conference, which ended on December 7.

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