Re: Gartner sees declining need for tech skills

["Dude VanWinkle" <dudevanwinkle () gmail com>]

On 5/23/06, Valdis.Kletnieks () vt edu <Valdis.Kletnieks () vt edu> wrote:
> On Tue, 23 May 2006 10:23:43 PDT, "Hubbard, Dan" said:
>
> > A new and unique threat to business operations is looming on the
> > horizon; an avian influenza or "bird flu" pandemic. This pandemic will
> > likely be global in reach, cataclysmic in consequence and complete in
> > rendering useless today's business continuity plans.
>
> Given that there's no indication that said virus has mutated to a form
> easily transmissible to humans, and there's no *particular* reason to
> *expect* it to happen anytime soon, why is *this* one getting played up
> any more than any of the *other* nasty pathogens out there?
>
> Yes, there's good reason to suspect that in the next decade or two, we
> will see *some* influenza variant go pandemic.  My money is on some strain
> other than "avian".
>
> For instance, Ebola comes in 2 strains - one is transmissible by air to
> monkeys. The other is transmissible to both monkeys and humans, but only via
> bodily fluids (which are unfortunately quite copious, as Ebola basically makes
> you spring leaks all over the place).  If either of those strains mutated to
> one that was airborne and infected humans, it's Game Over. (See Preston's "The
> Hot Zone" for details. Good book).


Ebola is too virulent to kill off humanity. People die before they are
able to transmit the disease outside of their region.

You need a disease that has a longer incubation time for a really
nasty occurrence.

My vote is for herpegenic scabies, now thats a nasty one :-)

-JP

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