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Re: "Market Failures"


From: Thomas Dullien via Dailydave <dailydave () lists aitelfoundation org>
Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2022 23:48:17 +0200

Hey all,

2022 is a year in which I post to Dailydave *at least twice*. This hasn't
happened in a while.

Dave's last paragraph hits on something that I have repeated to startup
founders and other folks in security for the last few years. When I started
optimyze, a lot of my acquaintances asked me: "Why not a security
company?". And my reply was always a variant of the following:

In B2B, there are three categories of product, and the importance of your
sales org goes up exponentially as you travel down that list:
1. The best category to be in is "top line growth" products. These are
products that the customer buys, and they grow their top line -- e.g. they
make more money. It is the best category of B2B product to build, and
things like AdWords fit right into this category. You won't need a huge
sales force for this, as the economics for buying the product are great,
and it will be easy to find an internal champion that wants to shine by
pushing through the purchase of your product. If you have an idea in this
category, and the TAM is large, go for it.
2. The second best category is "bottom line growth" products. They
essentially say "we will measurably save you money, without you having to
drastically change the way you do business". They are not quite as
compelling as the first category, and will work best in down markets or
recessions, but they will still allow a good product to shine, and your
sales org to not dictate all aspects of your business.
3. Everything else. This is the category where your success will largely be
driven by your sales org, as the economics of your product are not
clear-cut. The quality of your engineering, or whether your product
measurably works, is secondary here - it is only relevant to the extent
that it damages or enhances your marketing message, and deficiencies can be
compensated by louder voices. (Engineering also matters "all else being
equal", but in this category you cannot compensate a weaker sales/marketing
org with better engineering).

Security usually falls into category 3. So as a technical startup founder
that is not good at building sales orgs, you're probably well-advised to
stay away from security products, unless you somehow managed to find a way
to be in (1) or (2). This is also a good explanation why RSA looks the way
it does.

Cheers,
Halvar/Thomas

On Wed, 24 Aug 2022, 15:48 Dave Aitel via Dailydave, <
dailydave () lists aitelfoundation org> wrote:

If you were at a talk at Defcon this year in the Policy track, you
probably heard someone talk about how they, as a government official, are
there to address "market failures". And immediately you thought: This is a
load of nonsense.

Because that government official is not allowed to, and has no intentions
of, addressing any market failures whatsoever. If the Government was going
to address market failures, they'd have to find some way to convince every
cloud provider from making their security features the upsell on the
Platinum package. They'd have to talk about how trying to get into
different markets means every social media company faces huge pressures to
put Indian spies on their network.

Obviously you know, as someone who did not emerge from under a rock into
the security community yesterday, that the answer to having a malicious
insider on your network is probably some smart segmentation, which we call
"Zero Trust" now.

But Zero Trust is expensive! And most social media companies are not
exactly profitable as the great monster known as TikTok has eaten every
eyeball in every market because the very concept of having people
explicitly choose who their friends are is outdated now.

In fact, as everyone is pointing out, almost all companies you know are in
this position! They're cutting costs by sending jobs overseas while
spending huge amounts of money propping up their stock prices and paying
their executives to sell them to a dwindling market of buyers. Private
Equity companies spend every effort on squeezing the last dollar out of old
enterprise software by exploiting the lock-in they have on small
businesses.

And as critical as Twitter is, we have the exact same dynamic with our
privatized water and power companies - who have no plans to make strategic
investments in security or anything really - which is why on public calls
you can hear them humiliating themselves asking Jen Easterly to absorb the
entire costs of their security programs.

The ideal practice for all of these companies is to offload their costs
onto the taxpayer, which is why instead of investing in security, they cry
for the FBI to go collect their bitcoin from whatever ransomware crews are
on their network this week using offensive cyber operations that themselves
cost the government an order of magnitude more than the bitcoin is worth.

As you're sitting in that Defcon talk, listening to someone from
government talk about how they only want to regulate with the "input of
industry" or something, you have to wonder: if this is every company we
know, maybe the market failure isn't just how hard it is to buy a good
security product because they all abuse the copyright system to avoid any
kind of performance transparency. Maybe it's also how hard it is to SELL a
good security product because every single company is trying to cut their
budget to the exact minimum amount that will allow them to tell the FBI
they did their best, and the FBI needs to go out there and pick up their
slack.

-dave

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