nanog mailing list archives

Re: Observations of an Internet Middleman (Level3)


From: Owen DeLong <owen () delong com>
Date: Sun, 18 May 2014 11:50:29 -0700


On May 16, 2014, at 1:06 PM, Michael Thomas <mike () mtcc com> wrote:

Scott Helms wrote:
Mike,
In my experience you're not alone, just in a really tiny group.  As I said I have direct eyeballs on ~500k devices 
and the ability to see another 10 million anytime I want and the percentage of people who cap their upstream in both 
of those sample groups for more than 15 minutes (over the last 3 years) is about 0.2%.  Interestingly if a customer 
does it once they have about a 70% chance of doing it regularly.

Well, given Sling, Dropbox, iCloud, pervasive video calls (you have heard about webrtc, yes?
24/7 babycams!), youtube, etc, etc, I won't be a "tiny group" for long.

Mike

Yes… Scott is making what I consider a classic mistake. Attempting to define the future in terms of the limitations 
that users have adapted to from the past. Eventually, users do realize that the limitations are no longer necessary and 
then they won’t accept them.

Unfortunately, this takes far longer than is desirable.

Fortunately, this gives proactive and innovative service providers the opportunity to adapt the technology and remove 
those limitations before the users care.

Unfortunately, it also gives other service providers the opportunity to try and hold users back even after they care.

IIRC, there are awards in both categories.

Owen


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