Re: Big day for IPv6 - 1% native penetration

[Cutler James R <james.cutler () consultant com>]

On Nov 26, 2012, at 7:47 PM, "Dobbins, Roland" <rdobbins () arbor net> wrote:
> On Nov 27, 2012, at 7:27 AM, Cutler James R wrote:
>
> > Have you looked at the current Apple software?  It pretty much "just works" on IPv6.
>
> Yes, but it doesn't do or enable anything via IPv6 that it doesn't do or enable via IPv4.
>
> > This also automatically brings along IPv6 capabilities.
>
> Capabilities <> deployment.
>
> Again, the most energy almost all enterprise IT departments are putting into IPv6 is to include an undefined 
> 'IPv6-capable' checkbox on RFPs.  That's it.
>
> > What they do care about is reliable sharing of gossip, pictures, and videos.  They also care about reliable video 
> > chats with friends and family. 
>
> And it is these 'killer apps' which have driven the global deployment of IPv4 and the growth of the modern commercial 
> IPv4-based public Internet, as well as the near-universal adoption of IPv4 transport within private networks.
>
> The huge economic benefits of mobile voice and data connectivity are the reasons behind its spectacular growth and 
> increasing ubiquity.  Mobile voice and data allow people to do things that they simply couldn't do before, and to do 
> things which they didn't even view as possibilities before.
>
> My contention is that in order for IPv6 to become widely deployed within any foreseeable time-frame, it may well 
> prove that there must be some content/services/applications which are a) greatly desired by users and b) only 
> available via/possible with IPv6 in order to provide the requisite economic stimulus.


Well, at least you and I agree that IPv6 and IPv4 are simply Layer 3 protocols.

Regarding "there must be some content/services/applications which are a) greatly desired by users and b) only available 
via/possible with IPv6", your viewpoint ignores the millions and millions of end users/systems which will join networks 
around the globe in the near future.  Those content/services/applications will only be reachable via IPv6 because that 
is all that can be deployed without truly horrendous and costly mismanagement of IPv4 address space.

From a longer-than-next-month business viewpoint, it is more cost effective to deploy IPv6 than to continue the crude 
IPv4 hacks previously mentioned. Please note that this does not imply instant turndown of existing IPv4.