Re: [arin-ppml] NAT444 rumors (was Re: Looking for an IPv6naysayer...)

[Owen DeLong <owen () delong com>]

On Feb 18, 2011, at 10:53 AM, Franck Martin wrote:

> http://www.jetcafe.org/~npc/isp/large.html
>
> If you take the 5 top US ISPs and get them to do dual stack IPv6, that's 50 million subscribers in the US only.
>
> I think google and others will notice some serious traffic happening.
Google would probably notice significant traffic increases on IPv6 if they started providing AAAA records
to non-white-listed DNS resolvers.

> It took a market share of 10 to 20% of Mozilla for web developers to go back to support ALL browsers. Same for mobile 
> web site a 10% surfing rate got many companies to develop web sites for mobiles.
>
> If I recall Comcast and Time Warner are participating in IPv6 day. This should create enough eyeballs to show on web 
> analytics graph and provide the shift that makes nat444 irrelevant.
They have not yet deployed to more than a handful of trial customers. In fact, I think TW has not yet started
their trials.

> For a network operator I'm looking at the ipv6 ipv4 ASN ratio. Once it passes 10% we will have a snow ball effect in 
> the core.
It's just short of 9% today and climbing rapidly.

> Toute connaissance est une réponse à une question
The trick is combining the correct knowledge with the right question.

Owen