nanog mailing list archives
Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010
From: Marshall Eubanks <tme () multicasttech com>
Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2008 16:38:28 -0400
On Apr 18, 2008, at 4:15 PM, Scott Francis wrote:
http://www.news.com/2100-1034_3-6237715.html I find claims that "soon everything will be HD" somewhat dubious (working for a company that produces video for online distribution) - although certainly not as eyebrow-raising as "in 3 years' time, 20 typical households will generate more traffic than the entire Internet
Maybe if "typical household" is defined as "close relatives of Peter Lothberg." Either that, or he meant 30 instead of 3. Regards Marshall
today". Is there some secret plan to put 40Gb ethernet to "typical households" in the next 3 years that I haven't heard about? I don't have accurate figures on how much traffic "the entire Internet" generates, but I'm fairly certain that 5% of it could not be generated by any single household regardless of equipment installed, torrents traded or videos downloaded. Even given a liberal application of Moore's Law, I doubt that would be the case in 2010 either. Does anybody know what the basis for Mr. Cicconi's claims were (if they even had a basis at all)? Internal reports from ATT engineering? Perusal of industry news sources? IRC? A lot of scary numbers were tossed into the air without any mention of how they were derived. A cynical person might be tempted to think it was all a scare tactic to soften up legislators for the next wave of "reasonable network management" practices that just happen to have significant revenue streams attached to them ... -- darkuncle@{gmail.com,darkuncle.net} || 0x5537F527 http://darkuncle.net/pubkey.asc for public key _______________________________________________ NANOG mailing list NANOG () nanog org http://mailman.nanog.org/mailman/listinfo/nanog
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Current thread:
- [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Scott Francis (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Stephen John Smoogen (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 David Coulson (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Dragos Ruiu (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 David Coulson (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 David Coulson (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Jeff Shultz (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Stephen John Smoogen (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Bill Nash (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Marshall Eubanks (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Patrick W. Gilmore (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Williams, Marc (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Marc Manthey (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Mike Lieman (Apr 18)
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- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Mike Lieman (Apr 18)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Jeff Shultz (Apr 18)
- [Nanog] [admin] Re: ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Alex Pilosov (Apr 18)
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- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 David Conrad (Apr 20)
- Re: [Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010 Barry Shein (Apr 22)