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why the losing party will contest the 2004 election
From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Thu, 21 Oct 2004 15:26:03 -0400
Begin forwarded message: From: "Ross, Patrick" <pross () warren-news com> Date: October 21, 2004 10:38:35 AM EDT To: "'dave () farber net'" <dave () farber net> Subject: why the losing party will contest the 2004 election Hi Dave,Your recent post about www.electoral-vote.com prompted me to send you a look
at how the two sides are projecting the 2004 election, and why it almost guarantees a Florida recount. For IP if you like. A pro-Kerry site, www.electoral-vote.com, is using the latest polls toproject Kerry winning the electoral college 271-257 (Minnesota's 10 aren't counted on account of a tie, but they don't matter). It has Kerry winning
Florida's 27 votes and Bush winning Wisconsin's 10 votes. Florida puts Kerry over the top.A pro-Bush site, www.electionprojection.com, is using the latest polls to project Bush winning 274-264. It flips the two states above, giving Bush Florida and Kerry Wisconsin (it gives Kerry Minnesota, but that's not enough with the Florida loss). Otherwise the projections are the same as above.
Florida puts Bush over the top. Both sites claim they are the scientific one, and are doing the bestanalysis of the polls. Of course, that analysis is subjective, as is the
analysis done by the pollsters themselves. I think whoever loses will honestly believe they really won, and if the above projections are anyindication, the loser will have lost Florida when they thought they should
have won it. Sound familiar? Patrick Ross Associate Managing Editor Washington Internet Daily Communications Daily ------------------------------------- You are subscribed as interesting-people () lists elistx com To manage your subscription, go to http://v2.listbox.com/member/?listname=ip Archives at: http://www.interesting-people.org/archives/interesting-people/
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- why the losing party will contest the 2004 election David Farber (Oct 21)