BreachExchange mailing list archives

Re: seriously flawed U Washington breach study gets press making claims


From: "B.K. DeLong" <bkdelong () pobox com>
Date: Wed, 14 Mar 2007 17:35:18 -0400

Some good insight, Bill. The key thing with getting the word out,
(though there are a number of journalists on this list), is to set
this study to a Google Alert and email your points to any reporters
who cover said. It wouldn't hurt to get a few more sharp folks to
"sign on" to the points.

Of course, certain vendors may fan the flames by pointing out that
corporations need to buy more products and services but hopefully that
trend continues to be less useful the more educated everyone becomes.

On 3/14/07, Bill Yurcik <byurcik () ncsa uiuc edu> wrote:

"Hackers Get a Bum Rap for Corporate America's Digital Delinquency"
University of Washington News and Information (03/12/07)
http://uwnews.washington.edu/ni/article.asp?articleID=31264

I saw this press announcement of a study (also included in summary at end
of this Email) getting publicity and it looks seriously flawed. The
academics searched news articles about computer breaches going back to
1980 and then make claims.

(1) the authors, who are not techies (communications and geography
academics), should realize that there are significant disincentives for
any organization to have breaches of any type publicly reported - this
makes any aggregate news data about breaches they assembled extremely
suspect.

for instance, the authors claim there were *zero* breaches each year for
the years 1988-91, 1993-94; less than 10 breaches each year from
1995-1999; and less than 25 breaches each year from 2000-2004.
this does not pass the smell test!!!

(2) I would also argue only since state breach disclosure laws have
started to provide accurate data on "privacy breaches" can one begin to
make claims - there is not valid data before state disclosure laws kicked
in.  Even state breach disclosure data is relatively new to being
analyzed and not perfect since there is still non-reporting and
disclosures are not publicly recorded although the press does pick up a
significant portion of the disclosures between organizations and the
parties affected. Also there are skewing effects due to state
breach disclosure laws not being uniform and having different technical
requirements such as who must report, what they must report, etc.

(3) The study in question mixes news events with
recent reports to comply with state disclosure laws so this changes any
statistical analysis (multiple sources from different distributions)

I am very disappointed to see this poor scholarship/analysis
especially that it is getting press (primarily due to the University of
Washington's public relations).  Of course consider the source where the
study will evemtually be published is not at the forefront in
this area, "Journal of Computer-Mediated Communication", however, due
dilligence should have sent the editors of JCMC to seek out some of us
from this dataloss list for peer-review.

any feedback in agreement or disagreement?

Cheers! - Bill Yurcik

---

"Hackers Get a Bum Rap for Corporate America's Digital Delinquency"
University of Washington News and Information (03/12/07)
http://uwnews.washington.edu/ni/article.asp?articleID=31264

University of Washington communications professor Phil Howard conducted a
review of data-breach incidents reported in major U.S. news outlets between
1980 and 2006 and found that organizational flaws in businesses, not
hackers, should receive the most blame.  "The surprising part is how much
of those violations are organizationally prompted--they're not about lone
wolf hackers doing their thing with malicious intent," Howard says.  His
study revealed that malicious intrusions represent only 31 percent of 550
confirmed incidents, while mismanagement, such as missing or stolen
hardware, insider abuse or theft, administrative errors, or accidental
exposure of data online was responsible for 60 percent of the incidents
reported.  State laws that require companies to report breaches enabled the
study to be done with greater accuracy.  "We've actually been able to get a
much better snapshot of the spectrum of privacy violations," says Howard.
The study also found that while universities make up less than 1 percent of
the total records lost, they make up 30 percent of the reported incidents.
Corporate America claims that market forces should be allowed to solve the
problem of data breaches and reporting them, but Howard believes that this
strategy is not sufficient, especially since identity theft is the nation's
fastest growing crime.  He also believes that states seem more capable of
passing laws on the matter than the federal government.

---
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