Re: FCC proposes higher speed goals (100/20 Mbps) for USF providers

["Livingood, Jason via NANOG" <nanog () nanog org>]

A related observation – years ago we gave cable modem bootfiles to a group of customers that had no rate shaping 
according to their subscription and compared that to existing customers (with an academic researcher). The experiment 
group did not know of the change, so it could not influence their behavior. We observed that peak demand generally hit 
a plateau that was well below available capacity & this was driven by existing applications & associated user behavior. 
There’s obviously a chicken-or-egg problem with capacity & apps to use that capacity, but most ISPs raise end user 
speeds at least annually and try to stay ahead of increases in peak demand.

JL

From: NANOG <nanog-bounces+jason_livingood=cable.comcast.com () nanog org> on behalf of Jim Troutman <jamesltroutman () 
gmail com>
Date: Monday, June 6, 2022 at 19:29
To: Tony Wicks <tony () wicks co nz>
Cc: "nanog () nanog org" <nanog () nanog org>
Subject: Re: FCC proposes higher speed goals (100/20 Mbps) for USF providers

Some usage data:

On a rural FTTX XGS-PON network with primarily 1Gig symmetric customers, I see about 1.5mbit/customer average inbound 
across 7 days, peaks at about 10mbit/customer, with 1 minute polling.  Zero congestion in middle mile, transit or 
peering.