RE: Your opinion on network analysis in the presence of uncertain events

[<adamv0025 () netconsultings com>]

> From: Mel Beckman <mel () beckman org>
> Sent: Wednesday, January 16, 2019 9:21 PM
>
> MTBF can’t be used alone to predict failure probability, because product
> mortality follows the infamous “bathtub curve”. Products are as likely to fail
> early in their lives as later in their lives. MTBF as a scalar value is just an
> average.
Yes very good point -however that's where the historical data should come to rescue to help bend the MTBF line into 
this expected "bathtub curve". 
 

adam