nanog mailing list archives

Re: Some truth about Comcast - WikiLeaks style


From: Owen DeLong <owen () delong com>
Date: Sun, 19 Dec 2010 20:44:21 -0800


On Dec 19, 2010, at 6:12 PM, JC Dill wrote:

On 19/12/10 5:48 PM, Richard A Steenbergen wrote:
On Sun, Dec 19, 2010 at 08:20:49PM -0500, Bryan Fields wrote:
The government granting a monopoly is the problem, and more lame
government regulation is not the solution.  Let everyone compete on a
level playing field, not by allowing one company to buy a monopoly
enforced by men with guns.
Running a wire to everyone's house is a natural monopoly. It just
doesn't make sense, financially or technically, to try and manage 50
different companies all trying to install 50 different wires into every
house just to have competition at the IP layer. It also wouldn't make
sense to have 5 different competing water companies trying to service
your house, etc.

This is the argument the government uses to keep first class mail service as an exclusive monopoly service for the 
USPS, claiming you wouldn't want 50 different mail carriers marching up and down your walk every day.  Yet we aren't 
seeing a big problem with package delivery.  Currently you have 3 choices, USPS, UPS, and FedEx.  The market can't 
support more than 3 or 4 package delivery services (e.g. we had 4 with DHL, which didn't survive the financial melt 
down).  Why not open up the market for telco wiring and just see what happens?  There might be 5 or perhaps even 10 
players who try to enter the market, but there won't be 50 - it simply won't make financial sense for additional 
players to try to enter the market after a certain number of players are already in.  And there certainly won't be 50 
all trying to service the same neighborhood.

You can send letters just as well as packages via the other carriers.

The "USPS monopoly" on first class mail is absurd. In fact, FedEx, UPS,
et. al could offer a $0.44 letter product if they wanted to.

They could not call it mail. They could call it "first class document delivery."

However, the reality is that they probably couldn't sustain their business
at that price point.

The USPS doesn't have an actual monopoly so much as ownership of
the term Mail almost like a trademark. What they do have is an infrastructure
built at taxpayer expense that creates a very high barrier to entry for
competition at their price points.

And if a competing water service thought they could do better than the incumbent, why not let them put in a competing 
water project?  If they think they can make money after the cost of the infrastructure, then they may be onto 
something.  We don't have to worry that too many would join in, the laws of diminishing returns would make it 
unprofitable for the nth company to build out the infrastructure to enter the market.

The point is that the cost of the infrastructure usually exceeds what you can
recoup if you only have part of the population in a given area as your
customers, thus, creating natural monopolies.

Owen



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