Re: Solar Flux

["Robert E. Seastrom" <rs () seastrom com>]

"George Bonser" <gbonser () seven com> writes:

> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: Pete Carah [mailto:pete () altadena net]
> > Sent: Sunday, April 11, 2010 8:41 PM
> > To: nanog () nanog org
> > Subject: Re: Solar Flux
> >
> > And to top it all off, how many picojoules are stored in a modern ram
> > cell
> > compared to the same during the last sunspot peak.  There is a hidden
> > cost to memory density growth here...
> >
> > -- Pete
>
> This cycle is currently predicted to be quite tame by recent standards.
> So far NASA is predicting cycle 24 to be much weaker than 23 was:
>
> http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/images/f107_predict.gif
>
> http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml

That said, nobody got it right in terms of the depth or length of the
current valley, and we are in the bear skins and flint knives era of
predicting Sol's activity.

Also, a weak cycle (integration over a period of 11 years) does not
mean there won't be brief periods of utter insanity.

-r