nanog mailing list archives

Re: Telecom Collapse?


From: Marshall Eubanks <tme () multicasttech com>
Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2008 10:34:15 -0500


On Dec 5, 2008, at 10:07 AM, David Cantrell wrote:

On Fri, Dec 05, 2008 at 09:21:53AM -0500, Marshall Eubanks wrote:
On Dec 5, 2008, at 9:01 AM, David Cantrell wrote:
On Thu, Dec 04, 2008 at 11:08:49AM -0600, Jack Bates wrote:
Unless you live in a natural disaster prone location.
So don't do that.
There is literarily no place on the planet that is safe from natural
disaster.

A "natural disaster prone location" would, by a normal person, be
taken to be one where there is a high probability of being visited by
nature's Fuckup Fairies.  Such as flood plains (eg much of the Thames
estuary) and the sides of active volcanoes (Naples).  Most places have
a very *low* probability of being visited by the fuckup fairy.

The recurrence time for Mount Vesuvius is roughly 2000 years and counting. By contrast, the serious Earthquake repeat time on the East Coast of the US is more like 400 years, and overdue, so I guess I should move to Naples. (That doesn't count New Madrid, for which there is serious argument as to the order of magnitude of the recurrence time.)

One thing I remember from days trying to measure Earthquake induced deformations of the crust geodetically is that most Earthquakes that kill people occur on previously unknown faults.

By the way, the British Geological Survey says that the recurrence time for a serious Earthquake in Britain is about 500 years. (Britain, not the UK; Ireland apparently has a very low occurrence rate for both snakes and Earthquakes.)

This is again off-off-topic, so let's take this off-list.

Regards
Marshall



--
David Cantrell | Godless Liberal Elitist

   Safety tip: never strap firearms to a hamster



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