Re: shim6 @ NANOG (forwarded note from John Payne)

[Daniel Golding <dgolding () burtongroup com>]

On 3/6/06 6:14 PM, "Stephen Sprunk" <stephen () sprunk org> wrote:

> Thus spake "Daniel Golding" <dgolding () burtongroup com>
> > On 3/6/06 10:25 AM, "Stephen Sprunk" <stephen () sprunk org> wrote:
> > > So, unless there's policy change, most end-user orgs will have no
> > > choice but to pay the market rate for IPv4 addresses.  Spot markets
> > > are good when demand is elastic, but we're faced with a market that
> > > has growing inelastic demand that will outstrip fixed supply in a
> > > decade.  Capitalism doesn't handle that well.
> >
> > There will be a average cost per host to transition from v4 to v6. When
> > the
> > cost of IPv4 addresses exceeds the transition cost, then you have the one
> > thing missing from IPv6 discussions: an ROI.
>
> Please quantify the cost of not being able to multihome your
> mission-critical business.  Compare to the cost of obtaining an IPv4 PI
> block.  Both are likely to exceed the possible revenue for small businesses
> at some point not too far off.

This is of course, making the assumption (which may be in error) at PI IPv6
space will happen, through 2005-1 or some other policy. Absent PI IPv6
space, IPv6 simply wont happen, shim6 or not.

-- 
Daniel Golding