Re: shim6 @ NANOG (forwarded note from John Payne)

[Geoff Huston <gih () apnic net>]

At 07:37 AM 4/03/2006, Marshall Eubanks wrote:



> On Mar 3, 2006, at 5:55 AM, Kurt Erik Lindqvist wrote:
>
> > On 2 mar 2006, at 06.16, Kevin Day wrote:
> >
> > > No, I'm just trying to be practical here... Estimates of IPv4 pool
> > > exhaustion range from Mid 2008 (Tony Hain's ARIN presentation) to
> > > roughly 2012 (Geoff Huston's ARIN presentation). Sooner if a mad
> > > dash for space starts happening (or isn't happening already).
> > >
> > > Does anyone here really believe that there is time for:
> >
> > So what I think we might need (that I wrote in an internet-draft
> > some years ago) is the following things in exactly this order :
> >
> > 0. PI space with an artifically high barrier on entry yet available
> > when needed (read cost+administration=LIR or equiv.).
> > 1. Ducttape ala shim6
> > 2. One of breakthrough in graph-theory or a completely new
> > addressing/routing paradigm. Most like the latter.
>
>
> I will bet anyone reading this $ 20 USD right now that what will
> actually happen is
> the development of a spot market in IPv4 address space.


That was part of the speculative component of my report at the time, and, 
no, I won't be lining up to take your bet  - I agree with you that such a 
market is pretty much an inevitably.

Of course you could always start a futures market right now!

cheers,

   Geoff

.