Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

[Joseph S D Yao <jsdy () center osis gov>]

On Tue, Apr 18, 2006 at 08:29:10PM -0400, Barry Shein wrote:
> According to the wikipedia's quote of WHO the weighted average
> mortality rate, which would be across 50 human cases, is 66% in 2006,
> and 56% across all 194 cases reported since 2004.
>
>                   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H5N1


But this is of cases that were (a) bad enough that the person went to a
doctor [mostly in countries where this is rare anyway] and (b) were
identified as something other than "drink plenty of chicken [or plomik]
soup, and it will go away in a few days".

Is there a report which extrapolates the UNREPORTED cases and estimates
the mortality rate from that?  [And does anyone have any basis on which
to make these guesses?]


-- 
Joe Yao
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