nanog mailing list archives

Re: sprint passes uu?


From: alex () yuriev com
Date: Fri, 18 Oct 2002 13:08:54 -0400 (EDT)


note that $170/Mbit is actually below cost for any network smaller than
sprint's or uunet's, once you figure in the people, the routes, the
rent, and the depreciation, and then fuzz it based on economies of
scale.  however, the market hasn't bottomed yet, and most people still
don't know what their costs are.  once we bottom out and start
regenerating, $200/Mbit to $300/Mbit for wholesale high-commit transit
is going to be just about right, given the single-digit NPM that you get
from high capital long term commodity plays.

This is total and udder rubbish, the same kind that took one of the best
networks out there and destroyed it. CGS has a very strict definition. CGS
of a company A that gets goods from B does not care about B having negative
margins.

There is a number of good providers that provide very limited service at a
rate of under $100 Mbit/sec. An Enterprising Co takes transit from two of
those companies paying $100 Mbit/sec to each. Adding a few services, one of
which is called inhouse customer service that does not rely on former
security guards paid $5.25 per hour and happily resell it at $300 per
Mbit/sec. Factoring real salary costs, real equipment costs and real
depreciation schedules, the Enterprising Co manages to make money hands over
fist because it does not spend $80MM USD to built 15,000 sq. feet of space.



Alex



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