nanog mailing list archives
Re: The Great Exchange
From: "Perry E. Metzger" <perry () piermont com>
Date: Wed, 27 May 1998 17:01:32 -0400
"Tom Walton" writes:
You're assuming that the internet will persist in its current form, and just "scale up". I'd argue that, as network technology becomes useful for non-nerds, consumers will pay for packaged data services and not just for "access" to an expanded version of today's web-morass. These information services, e.g., entertainment, news, etc., will be big bandwidth burners. Simple economics will drive the providers of these high-bandwidth services to the edges of the network, and hence to a regional model for content distribution.
Simple economics would drive content providers NOT to get into the distribution business.
Thus, the majority of bits, if not the majority of net "accesses" (one ten minute video stream will likely dominate a residential consumer's daily consumption) reaching consumers will be delivered regionally.
Lets say we have a residential bandwidth on the order of several megabits -- not unreasonable in another five or ten years, especially given that current technology could provide it. Why would a short video dominate consumption, especially given that people watch a whole lot more than small amounts of video, and the net is likely to replace all other distribution media in the long run? I find your arguments fairly unpersuasive. Perry
Current thread:
- Re: The Great Exchange, (continued)
- Re: The Great Exchange Perry E. Metzger (May 29)
- Re: The Great Exchange Michael Shields (May 29)
- Message not available
- Re: The Great Exchange Jay R. Ashworth (May 29)
- Re: The Great Exchange Hal Murray (May 27)
- Re: The Great Exchange Tom Perrine (May 27)
- Re: The Great Exchange Roeland M.J. Meyer (May 28)
- Re: The Great Exchange Phillip Vandry (May 28)
- Re: The Great Exchange Roeland M.J. Meyer (May 28)
- Re: The Great Exchange Dean Anderson (May 28)
- Re: The Great Exchange Perry E. Metzger (May 27)
- Message not available
- Re: The Great Exchange Jay R. Ashworth (May 28)
- Re: The Great Exchange Phillip Vandry (May 28)
- Message not available
- Re: The Great Exchange Jay R. Ashworth (May 28)
- Re: The Great Exchange lincoln dale (May 27)
- Re: The Great Exchange Mark Prior (May 29)
- Re: The Great Exchange Mark Prior (May 29)