Re: Seeing Double

[Mike <mn () tremere ios com>]

I just look at ip bgp sum and see that I a mnow at 32600. abot 1000 more 
thatn last week. 

currently we seem to gain 1000/mo; 

Mike


On Wed, 22 Nov 1995, Scott Huddle wrote:

>       There is an often quoted statistic of the Internet
> doubling every 12 months.  If we look at a snippet of 
> data from the old NSFNet data from ANS, we can see this
> pretty clearly...
>
>       Month           Inbound 
>                       Gigapackets/mo
>       9409            36
>       9410            44
>       9411            45
>       9412            46
>       [...]
>       9409            71
>       9410            85
>       9411            90
>       9412            78
>       9501            71
>       9502            57
>       9503            64
>       9504            36
>
> (the decrease after November due to the different NSF regionals
> transitioning to their new providers)
>
> While it was never possible to have a view of all of the traffic
> on the Net, these NSFNet stats were useful as a representative  
> sample of the entire whole.  In particular, this doubling time
> is quite useful as a metric to try and judge general network
> growth and for planning.  Obviously several things in the past
> year have occured that have greatly shortened this time.  Amongst
> them the explosion of Web traffic and interactive applications,
> the huge number of new companies connecting their coporate LANS
> to the Net, the [I'm running out of synoymns for enormous, ah]
> enormous number of new companies selling and promoting Net and
> Web services.  This is coupled with the big increase in 
> infrastructure that ISPs and NSPs have built that help move all
> these bits about.  
>
> I've see a few guesses on this list as to a doubling rate, but
> I'm wondering if there is a way to judge this growth in some 
> sort of external and non-proprietary way.  
>
> Perhaps a relationship between "average traffic" and the number
> of routes?  This probably wouldn't hold in the specific
> (because of the degree of use of CIDR at a particular ISP), 
> but may hold in the aggregate. Thinking caps? 
>         
> -scott (huddle () mci net)
> MCI Internet Engineering

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