Refugees as a stimulated collective effect, and possible outcomes

["DAVID FARBER" <dfarber () me com>]

> Begin forwarded message:
>
> From: "Ed Gerck, Ph.D." <egerck () gmail com>
> Subject: Refugees as a stimulated collective effect, and possible outcomes
> Date: June 24, 2018 at 2:42:08 PM GMT+9
> To: David Farber <dave () farber net>, ip () listbox com
>
> Dear Dave and list,
>
> Recent events In Europe, the USA, and other countries, in reference to refugees specifically, not conflated with 
> immigration, shows a collective effect that cannot be ignored. 
> Refugees are also not individuals who are forced to move, by violence or otherwise; they show an stimulated cause 
> (such as volcanic eruption, war, disruption of society), not spontaneously, and collective. 
> It is possible that refugees can be modelled, mutatis mutandis (making necessary alterations while not affecting the 
> main point at issue), by the physics of fluids (rheology), as investigated in [1], with elements of mass hysteria 
> present, and other noted points, characteristics of collective movements.
> In that analysis, movement can be studied by a Deborah number, and other parameters, showing the resulting strategic 
> weakness of the position of the preventors, even though amply tactically capable, and the collective effect of the 
> refugees in overcoming any acceptable defense.
> Recent separation of (mainly) a large and still covert number of mothers and children in the USA, followed similar 
> patterns worldwide, of coercion and intimidaton as reaction forces to prevent refugees from being accepted, and 
> stemming the flow.
> Based on these observations, and the numbers of actors, both as refugees and as their preventors, it seems that the 
> physics of fluids provides that the behavior can, indeed, be quite sudden, cumulative, and at first-sight surprising, 
> and risks becoming catastrophic.
> A catastrophic result is, for example, the quick overrun of barriers or defenses, visible in several places in 
> Europe, where the existing infrastructure cannot hold the number of refugees, and rapid killing, directly or 
> indirectly, is considered not socially acceptable as a solution.
> This is a thixotropic effect that can happen in the USA south frontier, which, geographically presents a confluence 
> of a large border with a deep source, as a supersonic nozzle, which divergence offers least resistance to expanding 
> flow, and increasing porosity.
> We suggest that this collective dynamics at the border cannot be effectively contained or prevented, excluding en 
> masse killing. Although it can be delayed, but only at the expense of accumulating pressure, with more flow 
> afterwards. It would help to create effective reduction of creation of refugees, in their original places or far way 
> from the USA border, to prevent the flow from happening, in the first place.
> Short of this solution, the system will tend to flow collectively, not individually, to relieve faster the pressure 
> at the source, with ever reducing resistance to the divergent flow inward the USA south border.
> Cheers,  Ed Gerck
> [1] https://www.researchgate.net/post/Could_social_collective_behavior_be_well-modelled_by_fluid_physics 
> <https://www.researchgate.net/post/Could_social_collective_behavior_be_well-modelled_by_fluid_physics>
>
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