Re How Might Artificial Intelligence Affect the Risk of Nuclear War?

["Dave Farber" <farber () gmail com>]

Begin forwarded message:

> From: Bob Hinden <bob.hinden () gmail com>
> Date: April 29, 2018 at 8:22:39 PM EDT
> To: Dave Farber <dave () farber net>
> Cc: Bob Hinden <bob.hinden () gmail com>
> Subject: Re: [IP] How Might Artificial Intelligence Affect the Risk of Nuclear War?
>
> Dave,
>
> For IP if you please.
>
> I would think there are parallel articles of the form:
>
>   How Might <FOO> Affect the Risk of Nuclear War?
>
> Where <FOO> is one of Artificial Intelligence, Pollution, Tump, Block Chain, Tariffs, Butterflies, the Internet, 
> etc., etc.  Pick you own favorite topic.
>
> I suppose that one could write an AI program to write articles like this with only the input of the topic.
>
> No slight intended to the author of this article.
>
> Bob
>
>
>
> > On Apr 29, 2018, at 10:36 AM, Dave Farber <dave () farber net> wrote:
> >
> >
> > ---------- Forwarded message ---------
> > From: José María Mateos <chema () rinzewind org>
> > Date: Sun, Apr 29, 2018 at 12:42 PM
> > Subject: How Might Artificial Intelligence Affect the Risk of Nuclear War?
> > To: Dave Farber <dave () farber net>
> >
> >
> > For IP, if you want.
> >
> > https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE296.html
> >
> > Abstract:
> >
> > Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) are enabling previously
> > infeasible capabilities, potentially destabilizing the delicate balances
> > that have forestalled nuclear war since 1945. Will these developments
> > upset the nuclear strategic balance, and, if so, for better or for
> > worse? To start to address this question, RAND researchers held a series
> > of workshops that were attended by prominent experts on AI and nuclear
> > security. The workshops examined the impact of advanced computing on
> > nuclear security through 2040. The culmination of those workshops, this
> > Perspective — one of a series that examines critical security challenges
> > in 2040 — places the intersection of AI and nuclear war in historical
> > context and characterizes the range of expert opinions. It then
> > describes the types of anticipated concerns and benefits through two
> > illustrative examples: AI for detection and for tracking and targeting
> > and AI as a trusted adviser in escalation decisions. In view of the
> > capabilities that AI may be expected to enable and how adversaries may
> > perceive them, AI has the potential to exacerbate emerging challenges to
> > nuclear strategic stability by the year 2040 even with only modest rates
> > of technical progress. Thus, it is important to understand how this
> > might happen and to assure that it does not.
> >
> > Cheers,
> >
> > --
> > José María (Chema) Mateos
> > https://rinzewind.org/blog-es || https://rinzewind.org/blog-en
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