Re Exposé of IBM Watson

["Dave Farber" <farber () gmail com>]

Begin forwarded message:

> From: Mike Liebhold <mnl () well com>
> Date: September 11, 2017 at 12:13:07 PM EDT
> To: dave () farber net, ip <ip () listbox com>
> Subject: Re: [IP] Exposé of IBM Watson
>
> it's only been three years! Let's remember former IFTF.org president, Roy Amara's law: 
>
> "We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run," 
>
> Paraphrased nicely by former IFTF Amara Fellow, Paul Saffo:
>
> “Never mistake a clear view for a short distance"
>
>
> > On 9/11/17 12:24 AM, Dave Farber wrote:
> >
> > ---------- Forwarded message ---------
> > From: Andy Oram <andyo () oreilly com>
> > Date: Sun, Sep 10, 2017 at 8:55 PM
> > Subject: Exposé of IBM Watson
> > To: Dave Farber <dave () farber net>
> >
> >
> > How disappointing: This much-hyped medical AI is more like 1980s expert systems, not good at diagnosing cancer. 
> > Rather than exploring data through something like a neural network, IBM just has doctors input their diagnoses, and 
> > the system is supposed to develop independent thought from them. As the article points out, the subjective training 
> > method creates a risk of bias.
> >
> > http://bit.ly/2jgc3Ms
> > Andy Oram  |  Editor
> > O'Reilly Media, Inc.  |  617-499-7479 |  oreilly.com
>
> This message was sent to the list address and trashed, but can be found online.



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