Interesting People mailing list archives

Re Nuclear expert Alex Wellerstein on North Korea and other threats


From: "Dave Farber" <farber () gmail com>
Date: Fri, 11 Aug 2017 12:49:16 -0400




Begin forwarded message:

From: Herb Lin <herblin () stanford edu>
Date: August 11, 2017 at 12:36:57 PM EDT
To: "dave () farber net" <dave () farber net>, ip <ip () listbox com>
Subject: RE: [IP] Nuclear expert Alex Wellerstein on North Korea and other threats

My guess is that the military leaders around him are all going to tell him to NOT use nukes.  That is, they will be 
the ones trying to *restrain* him rather than the ones egging him on.
 
=======================================================================
Herb Lin
Senior Research Scholar, Center for International Security and Cooperation
Hank J. Holland Fellow in Cyber Policy and Security, Hoover Institution
Stanford University
Stanford, CA  94305  USA
herblin () stanford edu
650-497-8600 office || 202-841-0525 cell || 202-540-9878 fax
AIM herblin (any time you see me)
Skype herbert_lin (usually by appointment)
Twitter @HerbLinCyber
#safetypin
 
From: Dave Farber [mailto:farber () gmail com] 
Sent: August 11, 2017 9:03 AM
To: ip <ip () listbox com>
Subject: [IP] Nuclear expert Alex Wellerstein on North Korea and other threats
 



Begin forwarded message:

From: John Horgan <jhorgan () stevens edu>
Date: August 11, 2017 at 10:13:20 AM EDT
To: Dave Farber <farber () gmail com>
Cc: John Horgan <jhorgan () stevens edu>
Subject: Nuclear expert Alex Wellerstein on North Korea and other threats

Dave, I thought your list might find this Q&A with nuclear-weapons historian Alex Wellerstein interesting. He has 
smart things to say about North Korea and Trump as well as nuclear terrorism, modernization, proliferation and civil 
defense. Cheers, John Horgan

 

An excerpt from Wellerstein's remarks: "What I find most worrying about our present time is the apparent decrease in 
the salience and power of the “nuclear taboo” in the United States. The American public seems more willing than it 
ever has since the end of the Cold War to consider using nuclear weapons to achieve its policy aims; read Scott Sagan 
and Benjamin Valentino’s recent paper on this point. The current US President seems to have no self-control, no sense 
of personal (much less national) consequences, and no sense of the dangers of war or even nuclear war. It is easy to 
imagine scenarios in which he might be convinced that a nuclear weapon might be a palatable option to use, and there 
are essentially no legal checks (and very few possible practical checks) on his ability to order such an attack. It 
is a bad thing to have to say, but I find him much more unpredictable and disturbing along these lines than, say, Kim 
Jong-un, Vladimir Putin, or any of the others in the “rogue’s gallery” of people that get worried about with regards 
to nuclear weapons."

 

For more see 
https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/cross-check/nuclear-expert-considers-risks-of-conflict-with-north-korea/​

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