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Re Nuclear expert Alex Wellerstein on North Korea and other threats
From: "Dave Farber" <farber () gmail com>
Date: Fri, 11 Aug 2017 12:49:16 -0400
Begin forwarded message:
From: Herb Lin <herblin () stanford edu> Date: August 11, 2017 at 12:36:57 PM EDT To: "dave () farber net" <dave () farber net>, ip <ip () listbox com> Subject: RE: [IP] Nuclear expert Alex Wellerstein on North Korea and other threats My guess is that the military leaders around him are all going to tell him to NOT use nukes. That is, they will be the ones trying to *restrain* him rather than the ones egging him on. ======================================================================= Herb Lin Senior Research Scholar, Center for International Security and Cooperation Hank J. Holland Fellow in Cyber Policy and Security, Hoover Institution Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305 USA herblin () stanford edu 650-497-8600 office || 202-841-0525 cell || 202-540-9878 fax AIM herblin (any time you see me) Skype herbert_lin (usually by appointment) Twitter @HerbLinCyber #safetypin From: Dave Farber [mailto:farber () gmail com] Sent: August 11, 2017 9:03 AM To: ip <ip () listbox com> Subject: [IP] Nuclear expert Alex Wellerstein on North Korea and other threats Begin forwarded message: From: John Horgan <jhorgan () stevens edu> Date: August 11, 2017 at 10:13:20 AM EDT To: Dave Farber <farber () gmail com> Cc: John Horgan <jhorgan () stevens edu> Subject: Nuclear expert Alex Wellerstein on North Korea and other threats Dave, I thought your list might find this Q&A with nuclear-weapons historian Alex Wellerstein interesting. He has smart things to say about North Korea and Trump as well as nuclear terrorism, modernization, proliferation and civil defense. Cheers, John Horgan An excerpt from Wellerstein's remarks: "What I find most worrying about our present time is the apparent decrease in the salience and power of the “nuclear taboo” in the United States. The American public seems more willing than it ever has since the end of the Cold War to consider using nuclear weapons to achieve its policy aims; read Scott Sagan and Benjamin Valentino’s recent paper on this point. The current US President seems to have no self-control, no sense of personal (much less national) consequences, and no sense of the dangers of war or even nuclear war. It is easy to imagine scenarios in which he might be convinced that a nuclear weapon might be a palatable option to use, and there are essentially no legal checks (and very few possible practical checks) on his ability to order such an attack. It is a bad thing to have to say, but I find him much more unpredictable and disturbing along these lines than, say, Kim Jong-un, Vladimir Putin, or any of the others in the “rogue’s gallery” of people that get worried about with regards to nuclear weapons." For more see https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/cross-check/nuclear-expert-considers-risks-of-conflict-with-north-korea/ Archives | Modify Your Subscription | Unsubscribe Now
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- Re Nuclear expert Alex Wellerstein on North Korea and other threats Dave Farber (Aug 11)