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more on Maybe there's no mystery after all


From: Dave Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 15:46:58 -0500


Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 12:18:34 -0800
From: steven cherry <steven () panix com>
Subject: Re: [IP] Maybe there's no mystery after all

With all due respect to Mr Capek, there needs to be a balance struck between protecting U.S. jobs and protecting U.S. businesses from international competition. We've seen time and again -- in textiles and apparel, steel, automobiles, aerospace, and so on -- that American jobs can be protected only for so long, and the longer one waits, the more painful the correction.

I remember speaking with a New York fur manufacturer in the mid 1980s. This fellow's business was to import raw hides and finish them, so that furriers could make coats and jackets from them. All of his competitors had moved their businesses overseas, and he just couldn't compete anymore. He told his workers that he was opening a factory in the Dominican Republic. New business would be handled there, his existing accounts would remain in Brooklyn. His workers told him that was unacceptable. He thought long and hard, and made the extremely difficult decision to move *all* his work to the Dominican Republic. The Brooklyn factory was shut down, and the U.S. workers lost their jobs right away. It was either that, he told me, or have no business -- and no jobs -- at all in just a few years.

A few years later, I had a similar conversation with a Connecticut manufacturer of copper piping who was beginning to move production to Taiwan. I couldn't believe that something like pipe, with its relatively enormous transportation costs (and customs duties and added insurance costs) could be made more efficiently thousands of miles away, but it could, simply because of the equally enormous differences in labor costs.

In the *very* long run, overseas wage levels increase and an equilibrium is achieved. It's not that different from the ways that wage discrepancies within the U.S. have narrowed in the last 50 years, and jobs have moved around more easily with better roads, telecommunications, and other infrastructure. Getting there, though, will be painful, and it's hard for white-collar workers to be sanguine about being the new victims at the whipping post of open markets.

 Steven

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