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IP: <I feel a rant coming on...> This Week's Clue: We Dont Need No Steenkin' Wires
From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Tue, 22 Jan 2002 14:49:01 -0500
To: farber () cis upenn edu Subject: Re: IP: This Week's Clue: We Don't Need No Steenkin' Wires Date: Tue, 22 Jan 2002 13:53:22 -0500 From: "Mike O'Dell" <mo () ccr org> <I feel a rant coming on...> Dave, while i'm a huge fan of ubiquitous connectivity (which implies large-scale wireless access), there is nothing wrong with the existing wired infrastructure itself. the problem lies with the companies that own it. for instance, there is technology available now that can run up to near 100 megabits (that's not a typo) over 20,000 wire feet. (of course not everyone gets 100 megabits - the average links are said to be more like 50 megabits or so, and these are "peak" numbers - we promise you will never exceed them.) but do you see it being deployed?? the solution is pretty simple if dramatic - saw each of the ILECs in two, creating two companies. One public company sells nothing but copper last-mile service. The other company becomes but one of many companies who can drive electrons down the copper to deliver service if the customers wants them. but the "last mile", though, must be available to all comers on the same price list. if an ILEC wants to use that pair to offer a DS0 voice circuit with touch-tone(tm), distinctive ring, caller-id and voicemal, great! (my fax machine uses all that stuff quite cleverly) if another operator wants to put multimegabit *DSL over the circuit, that's fine too. if that operator also wants to offer both voice and data service on that *DSL link, that's even more fine. like it or not, there *is* a natural monopoly in the copper plant. so let there be companies that exist to do nothing but maximize the utility of that facility by selling access to that last mile to EVERYONE. however, there is no longer any natural monopoly in generating dial tone or decoding DTMF, just like there is no monopoly on forwarding packets. those service operators should be free to duke it out in the market, but they can ONLY do that if there is real, open access to the last mile. and as long as the last mile copper plant is controlled by the ILECs, that cannot happen, if for no other reason than they cannot conceive of it happening, even if the splitting would dramatically increase the combined market cap of the companies. the interesting apsect of this is that even if regulation cannot accomplish such a split, the stockholders, eyeing a significant increase in combined valuation, might insist. wouldn't that be amusing?? market forces acting to promote market forces! what a concept!!! yours for more enchanting fantasies -mo
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- IP: <I feel a rant coming on...> This Week's Clue: We Dont Need No Steenkin' Wires David Farber (Jan 22)