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IP: <I feel a rant coming on...> This Week's Clue: We Don’t Need No Steenkin' Wires


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Tue, 22 Jan 2002 14:49:01 -0500


To: farber () cis upenn edu
Subject: Re: IP: This Week's Clue: We Don't Need No  Steenkin' Wires
Date: Tue, 22 Jan 2002 13:53:22 -0500
From: "Mike O'Dell" <mo () ccr org>

<I feel a rant coming on...>

Dave,

while i'm a huge fan of ubiquitous connectivity (which implies
large-scale wireless access), there is nothing wrong with the
existing wired infrastructure itself.  the problem lies with
the companies that own it.

for instance, there is technology available now that can
run up to near 100 megabits (that's not a typo) over 20,000
wire feet.  (of course not everyone gets 100 megabits - the
average links are said to be more like 50 megabits or so, and
these are "peak" numbers - we promise you will never exceed
them.) but do you see it being deployed??

the solution is pretty simple if dramatic - saw each of the
ILECs in two, creating two companies.

One public company sells nothing but copper last-mile service.

The other company becomes but one of many companies who can
drive electrons down the copper to deliver service if the
customers wants them.  but the "last mile", though, must be
available to all comers on the same price list.  if an ILEC
wants to use that pair to offer a DS0 voice circuit with
touch-tone(tm), distinctive ring, caller-id and voicemal,
great! (my fax machine uses all that stuff quite cleverly)
if another operator wants to put multimegabit *DSL over
the circuit, that's fine too.  if that operator also wants to
offer both voice and data service on that *DSL link, that's
even more fine.

like it or not, there *is* a natural monopoly in the copper
plant.  so let there be companies that exist to do nothing
but maximize the utility of that facility by selling access to
that last mile to EVERYONE.

however, there is no longer any natural monopoly in generating
dial tone or decoding DTMF, just like there is no monopoly on
forwarding packets.  those service operators should be free
to duke it out in the market, but they can ONLY do that if
there is real, open access to the last mile.  and as long as
the last mile copper plant is controlled by the ILECs, that
cannot happen, if for no other reason than they cannot conceive
of it happening, even if the splitting would dramatically
increase the combined market cap of the companies.

the interesting apsect of this is that even if regulation
cannot accomplish such a split, the stockholders, eyeing
a significant increase in combined valuation, might insist.

wouldn't that be amusing?? market forces acting to promote
market forces!  what a concept!!!

        yours for more enchanting fantasies

        -mo

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