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IP: interesting testimony to House Committee on Government Reform


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Tue, 25 Sep 2001 20:21:58 -0400


From: "Herb Lin" <HLin () nas edu>
To: farber () cis upenn edu
Date: Tue, 25 Sep 2001 09:09:42 -0400
Subject: interesting testimony to House Committee on Government Reform

Here's something that is worth reading from a very thoughtful person.  I don't
necessarily endorse everything in here, but in the interest of stimulating
debate and providing food for thought...

Jessica Stern is an expert on terrorism at the Kennedy School, with significant
govt experience.

herb

==
                        Preparing for a War on Terrorism
              Testimony before the Committee on Government Reform
                         U.S. House of Representatives
                               September 20, 2001
                                 Jessica Stern
                          Kennedy School of Government
                               Harvard University
                                  617 496 3623


A war on terrorism must be fought on many fronts, using every tool at
governments' disposal: diplomacy, intelligence and, when we identify the
perpetrator, military strikes. But force is not nearly enough. Our goal should
be to drain the swamps where extremists thrive, and that implies a combination
of measures: stopping the flow of money to these groups, intelligence
cooperation, and military force. But most importantly, it implies understanding
that failed and failing states are important sanctuaries as well as sources of
recruits for extremist movements.  When we talk about Pearl Harbor, we should
also be thinking of a Marshall Plan.

The desire for revenge at a moment like this is perfectly understandable: We are traumatized as a nation. But our goal must be to prevent future strikes by our
enemies.   We cannot afford to allow an emotional desire for quick retribution
to override our long-term national security interests.  It would not be
difficult to make things worse rather than better -- through hasty, emotional or
ill-planned military reaction or even through bellicose rhetoric.

We should be careful about rhetoric.  We should avoid calling this battle
against terrorism a crusade.  The word crusade implies a war against Islam.
Other than those who were killed in the strikes and their loved ones, the
victims hit hardest in last week

's attacks are peace-loving Muslims around the
world.  Through rhetoric of this kind, we could turn ordinary Afghans into
Taliban fighters; and non-violent extremists into terrorists.  Extremists in
Pakistan immediately responded to the President's remarks by calling for a jihad
against both Pakistan and the United States.

Several surprising facts about bin Laden's group came to light during the trials
of the men involved in the 1998 attack against U.S. embassies in Africa. And
those facts reveal how well organized, sophisticated and elusive a network we're
up against.  U.S. government officials estimate that bin Laden's organization,
al Qaeda, has thousands of operatives who are active, or suspected to be active,
in 34 countries, including in the United States. But the threat doesn't come
from bin Laden's group alone. Many groups, such as the Egyptian Islamic Jihad
and the Algerian Armed Islamic Group, are closely affiliated with al Qaeda. They
train at his camps and carry out his objectives. Bin Laden is probably correct
that if the U.S. government kills him, hundreds of "Osamas" are prepared to take
his place.

The al Qaeda organization, and others like it that I've studied, have wings that
handle finance, documents, public-relations and intelligence. They run
businesses. They conduct surveillance of enemy targets. They cultivate
journalists to ensure favorable coverage in the press. They have sophisticated
websites for both fund-raising and recruiting.

Like any conventional business, the group includes both skilled and unskilled
labor. A former Sudanese member of al Qaeda, Jamal Ahmed Al-Fadl, said that he
was paid a monthly salary of $500, while Egyptian members of the group were
earning up to three times as much. He said that he received a $10,000 bonus for
arranging a deal to purchase uranium. Still, his anger about his monthly
compensation led him to steal $110,000 from the organization and eventually, to
become a witness for the U.S. government in the trial against the embassy
bombers.

When he complained to bin Laden about the Egyptians' higher salaries, Al-Fadl
said that bin Laden told him that the Egyptians traveled more, worked harder,
and had alternative employers in their own country. "That's why he try to make
them happy and give them more money," he said. In other words, bin Laden paid
operatives based in part on their earning power in alternative positions.

Like other business managers, bin Laden also needed to recruit unskilled labor.
K. K. Mohamed, for example, received no monetary compensation for his efforts,
which involved acquiring a truck and grinding explosives, and given his role in the embassy bombing in Tanzania, will spend the rest of his life in an American prison. Other operatives reported undergoing training in engineering or to pilot
planes. One talked about purchasing a plane with the goal of transporting
equipment, including stinger missiles, from Peshawar to Khartoum.

This group and others like it that I have studied, have thought carefully about
evading law-enforcement detection. A manual that came to light in the trial
instructed operatives living in enemy territory to dress in such a way that they
could not be identified as Muslims. They were told to shave their beards, to
rent apartments in newly developed areas where people do not know one another;
and not to chat too much, especially to cab drivers. The manual says that
destroying the places of amusement and sin is less important than attacking
embassies and vital economic centers.

Not surprisingly, what we know of last Tuesday's hijackers is that they followed these general instructions. They had no beards. They wore Western clothing. One business traveler, Roger Quirion, who flew on the first leg of a flight with two
of the hijackers, told a Washington Post reporter that the "two men struck him
as clean-cut, wearing slacks, dress shoes and causal shirts, and carrying dark
shoulder bags. Their hair was closely cropped.  They had no facial hair. In
short, they looked like typical businessmen." These hijackers also spoke little
to their neighbors and moved frequently. Neighbors noticed only one thing
unusual about them: meetings in the middle of the night involving up to a dozen
participants.

The most important aspect of training these militants is actually mental
training.  It takes relatively little time and effort to learn to fly a plane;
many people can do that.  But training someone mentally to carry out suicide
mass-casualty attacks is more difficult. Clerics teach operatives that killing
civilians is allowed. A former member of al Qaeda explained how charismatic
teacher taught him not to fear killing non-combatants. If the innocent victim is
"a good person," his teacher said, "he go to paradise." If he's a bad person,
"he go to hell."  Mental training of al Qaeda operatives includes videos and
person-to-person contact.

The Taliban were actually borne out of extremist madrassahs in Pakistan. These
schools function as orphanages.  Families that cannot afford to feed their
children send them to these schools where they are not only educated but also
clothed and fed.  In the most extreme of these schools, which Pakistani
officials estimate to comprise 10-15 percent of its religious schools, children are taught to a distorted version of jihad. A child should be taught that jihad
means doing your homework, helping the poor, and purifying the self.  At these
schools, children are taught about hate. Madrassahs I have visited had children from Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Burma, Chechnya, Kuwait, Mongolia, Nepal, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkey, Uzbekistan, and Yemen. In a school that purportedly offered a broad curriculum, a teacher I questioned could not multiply seven times eight. Children that graduate from these schools are trained to be mullahs, but many of them can't find jobs. They are thus susceptible to their teachers' message that
the best way to fulfill their religious duty is to fight on behalf of the
Taliban or to join so called jihadi groups.  The children are also taught that
Osama bin Laden is a hero.

Pakistan is prepared to assist the international coalition on the basis of
principle; it does not expect a quid pro quo, according to its officials.  But
still, now would be a good time offer assistance - because it is in US national
security interests to do so.  If we inadvertently turn Pakistan into a second
Afghanistan, the results would be disastrous not only for India but also for the
entire world.

How can we help Pakistan? Pakistan has long been seeking market access for its textiles. Opening our markets would translate into 300-400 million dollars per year, according to the Pakistani embassy, which could make a crucial difference
to Pakistan's economy.
We should also be considering debt relief. We need to help Pakistan especially
in the areas of health care and education.  Extremist religious parties and
jihadi groups are already mobilized to fight the Pakistani government.  It may
make sense to make some of these efforts visible.  The extremist groups are
unlikely to change their minds, but we can reduce their ability to mobilize
others.


The situation in Afghanistan is even worse. According to a UN report issued in
April, "The life expectancy is less than 43 years, the literacy rate is around
25%, the mortality rate is the highest in the world and the GDP per head is
estimated to be less than $700. Only a small minority of Afghans has access to
safe water, sanitation, health care, and education. In addition, Afghanistan is
one of the most mine-infested countries in the world."(FOOTNOTE: "The
Battlefield," Economist, 21 September 2001.)  Things have gotten worse since
then, in part because of the worst drought in 30 years.  If we attack
Afghanistan, the situation is bound to get worse.


How can we fight this scourge, which is now spread, in tiny packets of fury and pain, around the world? Military might alone cannot win this war because we are fighting a movement, not a state, not even just a network. We may discover that
bin Laden is not directly responsible, but instead, one of the groups he funds
or inspires, perhaps together with a state or states.  Thousands of so-called
mujahideen have trained in Afghanistan, and they are now spread throughout the
world.  For example, 100 mujahideen from Afghanistan recently joined Laskar
Jihad, a new jihadi group fighting in Indonesia. What is the target list in a
situation like this?

Last Tuesday's tragic incident makes clear that we can no longer afford to allow states to fail and conflicts to fester. Extremists thrive when the state is no
longer able to provide basic services, such as healthcare, education, and law
and order. They also thrive on lingering conflicts, such as those in the Middle
East, Afghanistan, Indonesia, and Kashmir.

We need to think about how to undermine these groups' appeal. Islam strictly
prohibits
targeting innocent civilians. Religious scholars need to get out the message
loud and clear that bin Laden's version of Islam is a grotesque distortion of
their faith. Those scholars should be speaking out, not just in America, but all
over the world.

It is also important for leaders to come to terms with the fact that religion
has often been used to justify conflicts. Religion has two sides: One is
spiritual.  It unifies people, transcending national and religious boundaries
and promotes tolerance. The other side is all about boundaries: to be Catholic
is to be not Protestant, to be Christian is to be non-Muslim, to be Muslim is to
be not Jewish. Us vs.
Them.  Religious leaders should come forward to make clear that respect for
human life is the most important aspect of religion. Extremists focus on the
divisive aspect of religion, on the parts that divide us one from another,
ignoring the spiritual, universalist aspects. Let's not fall into the same trap
by calling for crusades.

Finally, we have to learn to dictate less and listen more, as Joseph Nye argues
in a forthcoming book on America's soft power.  We have a stake in the welfare
of other peoples and need to devote a much higher priority to health, education
and economic development, or new Osamas will continue to arise.


d



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