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IP: This is the world in 2015 CIA perspective


From: Dave Farber <farber () cis upenn edu>
Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2000 09:18:42 -0500



From: "the terminal of Geoff Goodfellow" <geoff () iconia com>
To: "Dave E-mail Pamphleteer Farber" <farber () cis upenn edu>

This is the world in 2015
By James Langton in New York

  THE world is on the brink of a new era that may resemble the script of a
James Bond film in which international affairs are increasingly determined
by large and powerful organisations rather than governments, according to a
study just published by the CIA in Washington.

These could include alliances between some of the most powerful criminal
groups such as the Mafia and Chinese triads. Such groups, according to the
CIA, "will corrupt leaders of unstable, economically fragile or failing
states, insinuate themselves into troubled banks and businesses, and
co-operate with insurgent political movements to control substantial
geographic areas".

The agency adds: "Their income will come from narcotics trafficking; aliens
smuggling; trafficking in women and children; smuggling toxic materials,
hazardous wastes, illicit arms, military technologies, and other contraband;
financial fraud; and racketeering."

The 70-page report, Global Trends 2015, will be required reading for the new
president, George W Bush, and his senior policy advisers. It suggests that
the early years of the coming century are likely to be filled with both
potential and peril.

<<snip>>

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/et?ac=004071676359148&rtmo=r9XahmDX&atmo=rrrrrrrq
&pg=/et/00/12/31/wcia31.html

the 70-page report:
http://www.odci.gov/cia/publications/globaltrends2015/index.html

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
geoff.goodfellow () iconia com, Prague CZ * tel/mobil +420 (0)603 706 558
"success is getting what you want & happiness is wanting what you get"
http://www.nytimes.com/library/tech/99/01/biztech/articles/17drop.html



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