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IP: Why leadership by the U.S. government is vital to increased investment in the technologies of tomorrow (3/07/1999)


From: Dave Farber <farber () cis upenn edu>
Date: Sun, 30 May 1999 18:15:39 -0400




Published Sunday, March 7, 1999, in the San Jose Mercury News

Why leadership by the U.S. government is vital to increased investment in
the technologies of tomorrow

BY JOHN DOERR, ART LEVINSON
AND JIM BARKSDALE

A funny thing happened on the way to the new millennium: The American
economy hit its best stride in 20 years. Unemployment is at low levels not
seen since the 1960s. Inflation is nearly non-existent. The stock market is
booming. The federal government is actually running a surplus. Just five
years ago, predictions of such a rosy scenario would have been dismissed as
the fantasy of a pie-eyed optimist, or perhaps a venture capitalist. But in
the age of the new economy, an age defined by extraordinary advances in
technology, the impossible has become reality.

Today, new-economy businesses, including the microchip, personal computer,
Internet and biotechnology industries, are responsible for more than 40
percent of U.S. GDP growth. More than 8 million Americans are employed in
high tech, with salaries averaging nearly 70 percent above the national
average. With stock options and purchase plans distributed generously to
most employees, these leading-edge companies have achieved significant
levels of employee stock ownership while delivering outstanding returns to
investors. Advances in technology have significantly improved our quality
of life, with life-saving drugs, innovative medical devices, superior
surgical techniques and literally a communications revolution.

At the Technology Network (TechNet), a network of the new economy's leading
companies, we know firsthand that it was the research and development of
yesterday that made possible the economic successes of today. By providing
the initial critical spark for innovation, federal investment in basic
research has ignited whole new industries. Basic research is designed to
answer fundamental questions in science, engineering and medicine, without
specific applications in mind.

Thirty years ago, federally supported research into the nature of genetic
material conducted at Stanford University and UC-San Francisco led to the
discovery of recombinant DNA technology -- the foundation of genetic
engineering and of today's biotechnology industry. It was federal
investment in research at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
(DARPA) in the 1960s that provided a technological launch pad for the
Internet. And in the 1980s, scientists at the National Science Foundation's
supercomputer center at the University of Illinois perfected the graphical
Web browser, transforming the Internet from a research tool into a mass
medium and creating hundreds of billions of dollars in new wealth.

The end of the Cold War removed much of the urgency that once drove federal
investment in research. Between 1987 and 1995, federal funding for research
decreased an average constant dollar rate of 2.6 percent per year,
according to the Council on Competitiveness. Today, the governments of
Japan and Germany invest twice as much (as a percentage of GDP) on research
as the American government.

To keep the new economy growing into the next century, our industry and the
nation must reverse this trend. TechNet members -- more than 100 of the new
economy's leaders -- have unanimously called for a joint commitment by
government and industry to: (1) double federal funding for basic science,
engineering and technology research over the next decade; and (2) enact a
permanent research and development tax credit to spur increased corporate
investment in long-term research and development.

We believe the federal government should commit to consistent increases in
funding for pre-competitive research across a range of disciplines and
federal agencies. As the just-released report of the President's
Information Technology Advisory Committee
(<http://www.ccic.gov/ac/report>www.ccic.gov/ac/report) points out, the
federal role is irreplaceable in ensuring sufficient investment in
critical, long-term research for which no market advantages are
foreseeable. Top priorities for funding increases should include DARPA and
the National Science Foundation, which provides 25 percent of all federal
support for basic research at academic institutions through grants for
pre-competitive basic research.

A strengthened federal commitment to basic research is among the most
effective ways to invest in the American education system, by providing
hands-on scientific training to students in colleges and graduate schools
and developing new generations of technology industry leaders. TechNet is
calling for a doubling of the number of technically trained undergraduate
and graduate students in America's universities.

Renewed investment by the government must be matched by a renewed
commitment to R&D by corporate America. For almost 20 years the R&D Tax
Credit has provided a powerful incentive for increasing research by
American industry. A 1998 study by Coopers & Lybrand indicated that the
Credit provides a 31 percent return on investment -- more than twice the
rate of typical incentives.

However, the credit's history of on-again, off-again limited extensions has
prevented it from achieving its full effect. Uncertainty over whether the
credit will be extended every year makes it more difficult for firms to
invest in longer-term research. This is particularly true in the biotech
and medical technology industries, where R&D is a lengthy and expensive
process typically spanning five to twelve years from initial testing to
market. In fact, the lapse in the R&D Tax Credit between July 1995 and June
1996 forced biotechnology companies to defer clinical trials that otherwise
would have been performed.

Coopers & Lybrand estimated that a permanent R&D Credit would result in an
additional $41 billion in R&D investment between 1998 and 2010.

The long-term research of the past was essential to the creation of the new
economy: It was the golden goose that spurred the American economic
miracle. The high-tech industry and the federal government must make a
joint commitment today to a strengthened national R&D policy to ensure that
the golden goose stays healthy into the next century.


John Doerr is co-chair of TechNet and partner of Kleiner Perkins Caufield &
Byers. Art Levinson is CEO of Genentech. Jim Barksdale is co-chair of
TechNet and CEO of Netscape Communications Corp.


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