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IP: Mission Impossible


From: Dave Farber <farber () cis upenn edu>
Date: Tue, 13 Apr 1999 19:16:51 -0400



Date: Tue, 13 Apr 1999 14:12:28 -0400 (EDT)
From: AIP listserver <fyi () aip org>
To: fyi-mailing () aip org
Subject: FYI #68 - Mission Impossible

FYI
The American Institute of Physics Bulletin of Science Policy News
Number 68: April 13, 1999

Mission Impossible

Later this week, the House and Senate will assign appropriators
what amounts to a mission impossible: find a way in FY 2000 to
fund current programs, give $13 billion more to defense and
education, and spend $10-25 billion less than this year.

This assignment will come in the form of a final Budget
Resolution, which is a spending blueprint that charts how much
money will come in and how it will go out.  There will be much
talk that this plan remains within the spending limits, or caps,
that were set down in a 1997 budget deal.  There will be much
talk about saving Social Security, preserving Medicare, and tax
cuts.  There will not be much talk about how this plan proposes
to make cuts in the budget category funding the National Science
Foundation, Department of Energy general science programs, and
NASA -- proposing to spend (under the Senate plan) less in 2009
than what is being spent in 1999.  States Senator Joseph
Lieberman (D-Connecticut), "the small and declining accounts in
research and development are a direct prescription for long term
economic decline."

The House and Senate appropriations subcommittee chairs warn that
this year is going to be impossible.  Said Senate Appropriations
Chairman Ted Stevens (R-Alaska), hardly a liberal when it comes
to spending, "I don't think we can live under these caps." 
Senate Transportation Appropriations Chairman Richard Shelby (R-
Alabama) calculates he will have about $2.2 billion less that
what the White House wanted to spend.  Democrats predict he will
have to zero out Amtrak, terminate the 8,500 member Coast Guard
Reserve, cut the Coast Guard and FAA budgets by 11%, and stop the
modernization of air traffic computer systems.  House Energy
Appropriations Chairman Ron Packard (R-California) warns that new
dams, environmental restoration projects, and purchase of foreign
weapons-grade plutonium to keep it out of the wrong hands are at
risk.  He did not say anything about DOE's science programs.

The Senate Budget Committee faults the Administration, stating,
"...the President's budget could not deliver those funding levels
because the sum total of the President's proposed levels would
not be possible under current law.  If enacted exactly as
proposed in the appropriation bills, the President's
appropriation levels would require sequesters [automatic
reductions] across the board to reduce them to the cap levels by
nearly 8 percent.  The [Senate]  resolution hews to the caps
without changing current budget rules, and because of this,
necessarily but misleading appears to be less than the
President's levels on a functional basis."

There is no one in Washington who believes that these funding
caps are viable.  But there is no rush on either end of
Pennsylvania Avenue to admit that the math does not add up. Both
sides are waiting for the other to call for adjustments to the
caps, so that political points can be made.  All are hoping that
the economy will provide ever higher budget surpluses than were
first projected to provide a rationale later this year for cap
breaking.  Meanwhile, appropriations bills have to be written,
and under the caps, floor passage of these bills will be
problematic and avoiding vetoes will be insurmountable.  It is
truly going to be a mission impossible, and unlike the old
television show, it probably will not be very inspiring.

###############
Richard M. Jones
Public Information Division
American Institute of Physics
fyi () aip org
(301) 209-3095
##END##########


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